Football · Uganda Premier League · 28/10, 14:00

Prediction: Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons

Team pages: Entebbe UPPC · Maroons

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Entebbe UPPC1.32
Maroons0.71
1X2
51% 30% 19%
Entebbe UPPC Draw Maroons
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Entebbe UPPC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWLDWDW
Maroons 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DLWLWLLWDW
Head-to-head
Entebbe UPPC 1–4–1 Maroons (6 last)
  • Maroons2-2Entebbe UPPC
  • Maroons0-0Entebbe UPPC
  • Entebbe UPPC0-0Maroons
  • Entebbe UPPC3-1Maroons
  • Maroons5-0Entebbe UPPC
  • Entebbe UPPC0-0Maroons
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Entebbe UPPC 1539 · Maroons 1496
Entebbe UPPCDrawMaroons
Our model50%31%19%
Market51%29%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Entebbe UPPC (rating 1539 vs 1496).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Entebbe UPPCMaroons
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.31.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.10.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.31.3 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.32.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Entebbe UPPC 1–4–1 Maroons

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/08/26
Uganda Super 8
Maroons2-2
HT 1-2
Entebbe UPPC
12/05/26
Uganda Premier League
Maroons0-0
HT 0-0
Entebbe UPPC
27/01/26
Uganda Premier League
Entebbe UPPC0-0
HT 0-0
Maroons
07/05/24
Uganda Premier League
Entebbe UPPC3-1
HT 2-1
Maroons
30/12/23
Uganda Premier League
Maroons5-0
HT 3-0
Entebbe UPPC
09/05/23
Uganda Premier League
Entebbe UPPC0-0
HT 0-0
Maroons

Standings · Uganda Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 BUL FC 7610 15419
2 SC Villa 8530 16318
3 NEC FC Bugolobi 8521 17517
4 Entebbe UPPC 7421 7214
5 Blacks Power 8413 91113
6 Vipers SC 6321 13211
7 Uganda Police FC 8323 71111
8 Maroons 7313 13810
9 KCCA 6312 4410
10 Kitara FC 4220 538
11 UPDF FC 7223 468
12 Lugazi FC 7223 498
13 Express FC 8143 687
14 URA 7214 6107
15 Mbarara City 6123 255
16 Kataka FC 8035 6193
17 Ntugasaze FC 7106 4183
18 Kigezi Homeboyz FC 7016 2121

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEntebbe UPPCMaroons
URA 0-0 D 1-2 L
Lugazi FC 0-1 L 3-0 W
UPDF FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
Vipers SC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Entebbe UPPC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Entebbe UPPC

DDWWWLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/10 Kigezi Homeboyz FC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-0 62 W
15/10 URA
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 63 D
09/10 Uganda Police FC
Uganda Premier League
2-0 3-0 54 W
16/09 Mbarara City
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 63 D
09/09 Lugazi FC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-1 –– L
01/09 UPDF FC
Uganda Premier League
1-1 2-1 33 W
28/08 Vipers SC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-0 31 W
23/05 BUL FC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 4-0 –– W
19/05 Uganda Police FC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-1 24 D
12/05 Maroons
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 36 D

Maroons

DLWLWLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/10 Kataka FC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 4-1 12 W
11/10 Vipers SC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-1 10 D
07/10 Lugazi FC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 3-0 23 W
17/09 UPDF FC
Uganda Premier League
0-1 0-1 41 L
08/09 Blacks Power
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-2 23 L
02/09 Ntugasaze FC
Uganda Premier League
2-0 3-1 34 W
30/08 URA
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-2 23 L
23/05 Lugazi FC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 1-0 32 W
19/05 Vipers SC
Uganda Premier League
0-2 0-3 43 L
12/05 Entebbe UPPC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Entebbe UPPC win (51%). Probabilities: Entebbe UPPC 51%, draw 30%, Maroons 19%.

How many goals are expected in Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Entebbe UPPC 1.32 · Maroons 0.71), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.