Football · Uganda Premier League · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: BUL FC vs Entebbe UPPC

Team pages: BUL FC · Entebbe UPPC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.87Total

BUL FC1.14

Entebbe UPPC0.73

1X2

45% 33% 23%

BUL FC Draw Entebbe UPPC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

BUL FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWWDWW

Entebbe UPPC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWDWD

Head-to-head

BUL FC 1–2–3 Entebbe UPPC (6 last)

BUL FC0-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC4-0BUL FC
BUL FC0-2Entebbe UPPC
BUL FC1-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC2-1BUL FC
BUL FC0-0Entebbe UPPC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BUL FC 1553 · Entebbe UPPC 1557

	BUL FC	Draw	Entebbe UPPC
Our model	44%	34%	22%
Market	45%	32%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 1.87 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Entebbe UPPC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BUL FC	Entebbe UPPC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 5.9	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X2.80

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.05

2 (+0.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +26’	2.00	2.80	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · BUL FC 1–2–3 Entebbe UPPC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/08/26 Uganda Super 8	BUL FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
23/05/26 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	4-0 HT 1-0	BUL FC
27/11/25 Uganda Premier League	BUL FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
11/05/24 Uganda Premier League	BUL FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
03/01/24 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	2-1 HT 2-0	BUL FC
29/03/23 Uganda Premier League	BUL FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC

Standings · Uganda Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BUL FC	7	6	1	0	15	4	19
2	SC Villa	8	5	3	0	16	3	18
3	NEC FC Bugolobi	8	5	2	1	17	5	17
4	Entebbe UPPC	8	4	3	1	7	2	15
5	Uganda Police FC	9	4	2	3	9	12	14
6	KCCA	7	4	1	2	6	5	13
7	Blacks Power	8	4	1	3	9	11	13
8	Vipers SC	7	3	2	2	13	3	11
9	Maroons	8	3	2	3	13	8	11
10	Kitara FC	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
11	UPDF FC	7	2	2	3	4	6	8
12	Mbarara City	7	2	2	3	3	5	8
13	Lugazi FC	8	2	2	4	5	11	8
14	Express FC	8	1	4	3	6	8	7
15	URA	7	2	1	4	6	10	7
16	Kataka FC	9	0	3	6	7	21	3
17	Ntugasaze FC	7	1	0	6	4	18	3
18	Kigezi Homeboyz FC	7	0	1	6	2	12	1

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BUL FC	Entebbe UPPC
UPDF FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
Lugazi FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: BUL FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BUL FC

DDLWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
18/10	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
13/10	Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
15/09	Blacks Power Uganda Premier League	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
08/09	Ntugasaze FC Uganda Premier League	2-1	4-1	7	2	W
03/09	Kataka FC Uganda Premier League	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
30/08	Express FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
23/05	Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
19/05	Kitara FC Uganda Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
12/05	Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	6	D

Entebbe UPPC

DWWWLDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Maroons Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
22/10	Kigezi Homeboyz FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
15/10	URA Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
09/10	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
16/09	Mbarara City Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
09/09	Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/09	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
28/08	Vipers SC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	BUL FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/05	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BUL FC vs Entebbe UPPC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a BUL FC win (45%). Probabilities: BUL FC 45%, draw 33%, Entebbe UPPC 23%.

How many goals are expected in BUL FC vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model expects 1.87 goals (BUL FC 1.14 · Entebbe UPPC 0.73), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in BUL FC vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.