Football · Romania Liga III · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: Oltul Curtisoara vs CSM Targu Jiu

Team pages: Oltul Curtisoara · CSM Targu Jiu

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Oltul Curtisoara1.55
CSM Targu Jiu0.86
1X2
54% 25% 21%
Oltul Curtisoara Draw CSM Targu Jiu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oltul Curtisoara 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DLDDWWWDWW
CSM Targu Jiu 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWWWWDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oltul Curtisoara 1532 · CSM Targu Jiu 1576
Oltul CurtisoaraDrawCSM Targu Jiu
Our model53%28%20%
Market55%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Targu Jiu (rating 1532 vs 1576).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oltul CurtisoaraCSM Targu Jiu
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.71.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/50/17%60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.81 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 04 / 0

Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 6

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 CS Drobeta Turnu Severin 110 203
2 ACSO Filiasi 110 213
3 ACS Academica Bals 000 000
3 Oltul Curtisoara 000 000
3 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau 000 000
3 CS U Craiova II 000 000
3 CS Vulturii Farcasesti 000 000
3 CSM Targu Jiu 000 000
3 Minerul Lupeni 000 000
3 Unirea Bascov 000 000
11 Jiul Petrosani 101 120
12 ACS Petrolul Hartiesti 101 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oltul Curtisoara

DLDDWWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/05 ACSO Filiasi
Romania Liga III
1-0 4-1 52 W
09/05 Acs Axi Arena
Romania Liga III
0-0 2-0 55 W
01/05 Dunarea Giurgiu
Romania Liga III
1-1 1-1 26 D
25/04 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
10/04 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
04/04 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
1-0 W
21/03 ACS Academica Bals
Romania Liga III
0-0 0-0 15 D
14/03 CSL Nanov
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-1 84 D
06/03 CSM Alexandria
Romania Liga III
0-2 L
28/02 AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 87 D

CSM Targu Jiu

DDWWWWWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/05 FC Inter Sibiu
Romania Liga III
0-2 2-4 85 L
09/05 AS FC Pausesti-Otasau
Romania Liga III
2-0 W
01/05 ACS Medias 2022
Romania Liga III
0-1 1-1 73 D
25/04 CS Viitorul Daesti
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
17/04 Unirea Bascov
Romania Liga III
2-1 3-1 54 W
10/04 CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti
Romania Liga III
2-1 W
04/04 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel
Romania Liga III
1-0 1-0 55 W
28/03 CS Gilortul Targu Carbunesti
Romania Liga III
1-0 2-0 63 W
21/03 Minerul Lupeni
Romania Liga III
0-0 D
13/03 ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel
Romania Liga III
0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oltul Curtisoara vs CSM Targu Jiu?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oltul Curtisoara win (54%). Probabilities: Oltul Curtisoara 54%, draw 25%, CSM Targu Jiu 21%.

How many goals are expected in Oltul Curtisoara vs CSM Targu Jiu?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Oltul Curtisoara 1.55 · CSM Targu Jiu 0.86), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oltul Curtisoara vs CSM Targu Jiu?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.