Prediction: Mitundu Baptist FC vs Big Bullets
Team pages: Mitundu Baptist FC · Big Bullets
| Mitundu Baptist FC | Draw | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 34% | 45% |
| Market | 22% | 31% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Big Bullets (rating 1499 vs 1548).
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mitundu Baptist FC | Big Bullets | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 3.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Ekhaya FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Dedza Dynamos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mitundu Baptist FC | Big Bullets |
|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Karonga United | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Creck SC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Blue Eagles | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Red Lions | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Big Bullets (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitundu Baptist FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
Big Bullets
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/06 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Big Bullets?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Big Bullets win (46%). Probabilities: Mitundu Baptist FC 22%, draw 32%, Big Bullets 46%.
How many goals are expected in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Big Bullets?
The model expects 1.81 goals (Mitundu Baptist FC 0.68 · Big Bullets 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mitundu Baptist FC vs Big Bullets?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.