Prediction: Mighty Wanderers vs Red Lions
Team pages: Mighty Wanderers · Red Lions
- Red Lions0-2Mighty Wanderers
- Mighty Wanderers1-1Red Lions
- Red Lions1-1Mighty Wanderers
| Mighty Wanderers | Draw | Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 23% | 7% |
| Market | 72% | 20% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mighty Wanderers (rating 1567 vs 1495).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mighty Wanderers | Red Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.7 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mighty Wanderers 1–2–0 Red Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/21 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 08/05/21 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 24/12/17 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mighty Wanderers |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Ekhaya FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 13 | Dedza Dynamos | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 12 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mighty Wanderers | Red Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Blue Eagles | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Civil Service Utd | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| MAFCO | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Chitipa United | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mighty Wanderers (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mighty Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Creck SC Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mighty Wanderers vs Red Lions?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mighty Wanderers win (71%). Probabilities: Mighty Wanderers 71%, draw 21%, Red Lions 8%.
How many goals are expected in Mighty Wanderers vs Red Lions?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Mighty Wanderers 1.75 · Red Lions 0.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mighty Wanderers vs Red Lions?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.