Football · Malawi Super League · 22/08, 14:30

Prediction: Creck SC vs Ekhaya FC

Team pages: Creck SC · Ekhaya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Creck SC0.96
Ekhaya FC1.21
1X2
28% 31% 41%
Creck SC Draw Ekhaya FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Creck SC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLLD
Ekhaya FC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDDDLWDL
Head-to-head
Creck SC 1–1 Ekhaya FC (2 last)
  • Creck SC4-2Ekhaya FC
  • Ekhaya FC1-0Creck SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Creck SC 1420 · Ekhaya FC 1520
Creck SCDrawEkhaya FC
Our model28%32%41%
Market28%31%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekhaya FC (rating 1420 vs 1520).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Creck SCEkhaya FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 1.40.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/10/80%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.52.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.34.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Creck SC 101 Ekhaya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/12/25
Malawi Super League
Creck SC4-2
HT 1-1
Ekhaya FC
14/06/25
Malawi Super League
Ekhaya FC1-0
HT 1-0
Creck SC

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Silver Strikers 13841 23528
2 Big Bullets 13751 15726
3 Mighty Wanderers 13751 24826
4 Blue Eagles 12714 191422
5 Masters FC 13634 161421
6 Red Lions 13544 111119
7 Chitipa United 13616 101519
8 Mitundu Baptist FC 13535 121318
9 Ekhaya FC 13454 131117
10 Moyale Barracks 13454 121417
11 Civil Service Utd 13427 81414
12 MAFCO 12345 111313
13 Dedza Dynamos 13346 91913
14 Karonga United 13337 132212
15 Kamuzu Barracks 13328 131911
16 Creck SC 13139 8186

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCreck SCEkhaya FC
Dedza Dynamos 1-1 D 1-1 D
Silver Strikers 0-1 L 0-3 L
Karonga United 1-2 L 2-1 W
Mitundu Baptist FC 0-1 L 0-0 D
Big Bullets 0-2 L 0-0 D
Mighty Wanderers 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ekhaya FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Creck SC

LLLWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 71 D
08/08 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 42 L
26/07 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
1-2 1-2 31 L
18/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 43 L
04/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 47 L
28/06 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 L
21/06 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
2-0 3-1 41 W
14/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Top 8 Cup
0-0 0-2 22 L
30/05 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 L
23/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 81 L

Ekhaya FC

DWDDDDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-3 42 L
08/08 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 77 D
01/08 Karonga United
Malawi Top 8 Cup
1-0 2-1 61 W
25/07 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 43 L
19/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 34 D
12/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
1-0 1-1 57 D
11/07 Big Bullets
Malawi Top 8 Cup
1-0 1-1 57 D
05/07 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 72 D
28/06 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 75 W
20/06 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Creck SC vs Ekhaya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ekhaya FC win (41%). Probabilities: Creck SC 28%, draw 31%, Ekhaya FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Creck SC vs Ekhaya FC?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Creck SC 0.96 · Ekhaya FC 1.21), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Creck SC vs Ekhaya FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.