Football · Malawi Super League · 23/08, 14:30

Prediction: Civil Service Utd vs MAFCO

Team pages: Civil Service Utd · MAFCO

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Civil Service Utd1.12
MAFCO0.69
1X2
45% 32% 22%
Civil Service Utd Draw MAFCO
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Civil Service Utd 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLLLLW
MAFCO 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLWLLD
Head-to-head
Civil Service Utd 1–4–1 MAFCO (6 last)
  • MAFCO2-0Civil Service Utd
  • Civil Service Utd0-0MAFCO
  • Civil Service Utd0-0MAFCO
  • MAFCO2-2Civil Service Utd
  • Civil Service Utd1-1MAFCO
  • Civil Service Utd1-0MAFCO
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Civil Service Utd 1444 · MAFCO 1482
Civil Service UtdDrawMAFCO
Our model44%34%21%
Market46%31%23%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Civil Service UtdMAFCO
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.21 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.42.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Civil Service Utd 141 MAFCO

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/11/25
Malawi Super League
MAFCO2-0
HT 1-0
Civil Service Utd
14/06/25
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd0-0
HT 0-0
MAFCO
18/09/24
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd0-0
HT 0-0
MAFCO
31/07/24
Malawi Super League
MAFCO2-2
HT 1-1
Civil Service Utd
10/04/22
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd1-1
HT 0-0
MAFCO
21/08/21
Malawi Super League
Civil Service Utd1-0
HT 1-0
MAFCO

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Silver Strikers 13841 23528
2 Big Bullets 13751 15726
3 Mighty Wanderers 13751 24826
4 Blue Eagles 12714 191422
5 Masters FC 13634 161421
6 Red Lions 13544 111119
7 Chitipa United 13616 101519
8 Mitundu Baptist FC 13535 121318
9 Ekhaya FC 13454 131117
10 Moyale Barracks 13454 121417
11 Civil Service Utd 13427 81414
12 MAFCO 12345 111313
13 Dedza Dynamos 13346 91913
14 Karonga United 13337 132212
15 Kamuzu Barracks 13328 131911
16 Creck SC 13139 8186

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCivil Service UtdMAFCO
Blue Eagles 2-1 W 0-1 L
Masters FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
Mighty Wanderers 0-2 L 0-3 L
Red Lions 0-1 L 2-0 W
Silver Strikers 1-1 D 0-1 L
Karonga United 0-1 L 1-1 D
Chitipa United 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MAFCO (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Civil Service Utd

LLLDWLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-1 2-1 31 W
09/08 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 46 L
25/07 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 82 L
18/07 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 31 L
05/07 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 32 L
28/06 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 W
20/06 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-1 21 D
30/05 Mitundu Baptist FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-3 01 L
24/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 73 L
16/05 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 11 L

MAFCO

DWLWLLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 41 D
08/08 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 30 L
26/07 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-2 1-4 84 L
18/07 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-0 W
05/07 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-3 42 L
28/06 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 15 L
20/06 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 34 W
30/05 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 43 L
24/05 Chitipa United
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-0 31 W
17/05 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-1 1-1 25 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Civil Service Utd vs MAFCO?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Civil Service Utd win (45%). Probabilities: Civil Service Utd 45%, draw 32%, MAFCO 22%.

How many goals are expected in Civil Service Utd vs MAFCO?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Civil Service Utd 1.12 · MAFCO 0.69), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Civil Service Utd vs MAFCO?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.