Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 01/09, 22:00
Prediction: Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)
Team pages: Orsomarso (W) · Deportivo Cali (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Orsomarso (W)0.77
Deportivo Cali (W)1.82
1X2
Orsomarso (W)
Draw
Deportivo Cali (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso (W)
1–2–2
Deportivo Cali (W)
(5 last)
- Orsomarso (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)0-1Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Orsomarso (W)0-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)4-0Orsomarso (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso (W) 1486 · Deportivo Cali (W) 1600
| Orsomarso (W) | Draw | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 24% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 25% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (W) (rating 1486 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso (W) 1–2–2 Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 28/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 05/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 01/06/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 06/05/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | America de Cali (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 11/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Cali (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Orsomarso (W) 14%, draw 25%, Deportivo Cali (W) 61%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Orsomarso (W) 0.77 · Deportivo Cali (W) 1.82), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.