Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 09/09, 22:00
Prediction: Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)
Team pages: Independiente Santa Fe (W) · Deportivo Cali (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Independiente Santa Fe (W)0.94
Deportivo Cali (W)1.29
1X2
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Draw
Deportivo Cali (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Cali (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
1–1–4
Deportivo Cali (W)
(6 last)
- Deportivo Cali (W)3-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)1-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-0Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)2-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)0-2Deportivo Cali (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1533 · Deportivo Cali (W) 1589
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | Draw | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | 26% | 30% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (W) (rating 1533 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1–1–4 Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 23/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 22/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 15/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 29/03/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 17/08/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | Deportivo Cali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Orsomarso (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Millonarios (W) | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Llaneros (W) | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Santa Fe (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Cali (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Independiente Santa Fe (W) 26%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali (W) 44%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Independiente Santa Fe (W) 0.94 · Deportivo Cali (W) 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs Deportivo Cali (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.