Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 03/09, 00:30
Prediction: Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs America de Cali (W)
Team pages: Independiente Santa Fe (W) · America de Cali (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Independiente Santa Fe (W)1.07
America de Cali (W)1.34
1X2
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Draw
America de Cali (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
America de Cali (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
2–3–1
America de Cali (W)
(6 last)
- America de Cali (W)1-2Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- America de Cali (W)0-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)0-1America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)0-1Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)2-2America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)0-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1526 · America de Cali (W) 1526
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | Draw | America de Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 31% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Santa Fe (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | America de Cali (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.5 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 2–3–1 America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 22/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 14/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | America de Cali (W) |
| 22/06/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 10/06/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | America de Cali (W) |
| 01/07/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | America de Cali (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | America de Cali (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Orsomarso (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Millonarios (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Llaneros (W) | 4-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 26/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an America de Cali (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Independiente Santa Fe (W) 28%, draw 31%, America de Cali (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1.07 · America de Cali (W) 1.34), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Santa Fe (W) vs America de Cali (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.