Football · Italy Serie D · 08/11, 14:30

Prediction: Certosa Vigor Campagnano vs ASD Trastevere

Team pages: ASD Trastevere

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Certosa Vigor Campagnano1.58
ASD Trastevere1.03
1X2
49% 27% 24%
Certosa Vigor Campagnano Draw ASD Trastevere
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Certosa Vigor Campagnano 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLWDWDL
ASD Trastevere 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWDLWDLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Certosa Vigor Campagnano 1535 · ASD Trastevere 1492
Certosa Vigor CampagnanoDrawASD Trastevere
Our model49%28%24%
Market50%26%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Certosa Vigor Campagnano (rating 1535 vs 1492).
  • High corners: 14.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Certosa Vigor CampagnanoASD Trastevere
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 11.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 00.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)100/0/0%25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 83.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 03.1 / 0.3

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 10721 25723
2 Sambiase 10721 17823
3 Vibonese 10631 22921
4 Calcio Avola 1949 10613 161419
5 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 10532 16818
6 Milazzo 10514 111216
7 Igea Virtus 10433 232115
8 ASD Licata 10424 101714
9 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 9423 121014
10 Città di Gela 10343 11812
11 Nissa FC 10334 161412
12 Siracusa 10532 171011
13 Vigor Lamezia 10226 10188
14 ASD CastrumFavara 10226 11178
15 Modica 9216 7127
16 Trapani 10325 7146
17 ASD Ragusa 10037 9213
18 Enna Calcio 10037 4243

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCertosa Vigor CampagnanoASD Trastevere
Monastir Kosmoto 3-2 W 2-2 D
ASD Aranova 2-1 W 0-2 L
Atletico Lodigiani 1-0 W 3-2 W
Sarrabus Ogliastra 2-0 W 3-2 W
Polisportiva Ossese 0-1 L 1-1 D
Citta di Anagni 4-0 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Certosa Vigor Campagnano (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Certosa Vigor Campagnano

WLWWLWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Budoni
Italy Serie D
– 1-3 –– L
25/10 USD Latte Dolce
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
18/10 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
– 3-2 –– W
11/10 Cynthialbalonga
Italy Serie D
– 0-0 –– D
04/10 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
27/09 Anzio Calcio 1924
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
20/09 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
1-0 1-0 93 W
16/09 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 74 W
12/09 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
06/09 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
– 4-0 –– W

ASD Trastevere

LWWDLWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
1-2 2-2 33 D
18/10 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-2 45 W
11/10 ASD Aranova
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-2 43 L
04/10 Citta di Anagni
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 93 D
27/09 Atletico Lodigiani
Italy Serie D
0-1 3-2 72 W
20/09 Paganese
Italy Serie D
1-4 1-6 81 L
16/09 Polisportiva Ossese
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 84 D
13/09 Gelbison
Italy Serie D
2-0 2-1 86 W
06/09 US Venafro
Italy Serie D
– 1-0 –– W
16/05 Monastir Kosmoto
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Certosa Vigor Campagnano vs ASD Trastevere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Certosa Vigor Campagnano win (49%). Probabilities: Certosa Vigor Campagnano 49%, draw 27%, ASD Trastevere 24%.

How many goals are expected in Certosa Vigor Campagnano vs ASD Trastevere?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Certosa Vigor Campagnano 1.58 · ASD Trastevere 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Certosa Vigor Campagnano vs ASD Trastevere?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.