Football · Italy Serie D · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: SS Turris Calcio vs FC Francavilla

Team pages: SS Turris Calcio · FC Francavilla

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
SS Turris Calcio1.68
FC Francavilla0.64
1X2
62% 25% 13%
SS Turris Calcio Draw FC Francavilla
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
SS Turris Calcio 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWWDLL
FC Francavilla 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDDWLL
Head-to-head
SS Turris Calcio 1–3 FC Francavilla (4 last)
  • SS Turris Calcio2-1FC Francavilla
  • FC Francavilla2-0SS Turris Calcio
  • SS Turris Calcio0-3FC Francavilla
  • FC Francavilla1-0SS Turris Calcio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SS Turris Calcio 1521 · FC Francavilla 1434
SS Turris CalcioDrawFC Francavilla
Our model61%26%13%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SS Turris Calcio (rating 1521 vs 1434).
  • H2H favours FC Francavilla: 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SS Turris CalcioFC Francavilla
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.90.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/63/13%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.10.3 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 04.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · SS Turris Calcio 1–0–3 FC Francavilla

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/18
Italy Serie D
SS Turris Calcio2-1
HT 0-0
FC Francavilla
12/11/17
Italy Serie D
FC Francavilla2-0SS Turris Calcio
06/03/16
Italy Serie D
SS Turris Calcio0-3FC Francavilla
01/11/15
Italy Serie D
FC Francavilla1-0SS Turris Calcio

Standings · Italy Serie D

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reggina 11821 28726
2 Sambiase 11821 19826
3 Vibonese 11731 241024
4 Calcio Avola 1949 11614 171619
5 Milazzo 11614 141319
6 ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora 11533 161018
7 Igea Virtus 11533 252218
8 Città di Gela 11443 13915
9 Siracusa 11632 181014
10 ASD Licata 11425 112214
11 SSD Athletic Club Palermo 10424 131214
12 Nissa FC 11335 161512
13 Modica 10316 121310
14 Trapani 11425 9149
15 Vigor Lamezia 11227 11218
16 ASD CastrumFavara 11227 12198
17 ASD Ragusa 11038 9233
18 Enna Calcio 11038 4273

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSS Turris CalcioFC Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla 1-2 L 0-1 L
Real Forio 2014 2-1 W 2-1 W
Gladiator 1-1 D 1-1 D
Fidelis Andria 2-0 W 0-2 L
Brindisi FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
FBC Gravina 0-0 D 1-1 D
US Palmese 1914 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SS Turris Calcio (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SS Turris Calcio

DDWWDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 AC Nardo
Italy Serie D
0-2 1-3 50 L
01/11 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
25/10 Real Aversa 1925
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 26 D
18/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 Manfredonia
Italy Serie D
1-0 3-0 22 W
04/10 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
0-0 1-1 47 D
27/09 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
1-0 2-0 41 W
20/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
1-1 2-1 44 W
16/09 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 70 D
13/09 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-0 54 D

FC Francavilla

LLLLLDDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Virtus Francavilla
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
01/11 Fidelis Andria
Italy Serie D
0-1 0-2 16 L
25/10 Real Forio 2014
Italy Serie D
– 2-1 –– W
18/10 FBC Gravina
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
11/10 Gladiator
Italy Serie D
– 1-1 –– D
04/10 Martina
Italy Serie D
0-0 0-1 22 L
27/09 Brindisi FC
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
20/09 Melfi
Italy Serie D
– 1-2 –– L
16/09 US Palmese 1914
Italy Serie D
– 0-1 –– L
13/09 Bisceglie 1913
Italy Serie D
0-1 1-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SS Turris Calcio vs FC Francavilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SS Turris Calcio win (62%). Probabilities: SS Turris Calcio 62%, draw 25%, FC Francavilla 13%.

How many goals are expected in SS Turris Calcio vs FC Francavilla?

The model expects 2.32 goals (SS Turris Calcio 1.68 · FC Francavilla 0.64), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SS Turris Calcio vs FC Francavilla?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.