Prediction: Sanremese vs Alessandria
Team pages: Sanremese · Alessandria
| Sanremese | Draw | Alessandria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sanremese | Alessandria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 63/25/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sanremese | Alessandria |
|---|---|---|
| Asti | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| ASD Imperia | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| ASD Millesimo Calcio | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Sestri Levante | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Celle Varazze FBC | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alessandria (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanremese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Asti Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 24/10 | ASD Millesimo Calcio Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Sestri Levante Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Valenzana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | AC Bra Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/09 | ASDC Gozzano Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | ACSD Saluzzo Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 16/09 | Chisola Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Alessandria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Celle Varazze FBC Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Borgosesia Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 18/10 | GSD Lascaris Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | USD Fezzanese Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Derthona Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/09 | ASD Imperia Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Asti Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | ASD Millesimo Calcio Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Sestri Levante Italy Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanremese vs Alessandria?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Alessandria win (40%). Probabilities: Sanremese 31%, draw 29%, Alessandria 40%.
How many goals are expected in Sanremese vs Alessandria?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Sanremese 1.24 · Alessandria 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sanremese vs Alessandria?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.