Prediction: Martina vs Melfi
Team pages: Martina
| Martina | Draw | Melfi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 24% | 13% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina (rating 1558 vs 1473).
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Martina | Melfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.5 | 5 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3 / 0 |
Standings · Italy Serie D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Vibonese | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola 1949 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 5 | Milazzo | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ASD Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 18 |
| 8 | Città di Gela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Siracusa | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | ASD Licata | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 14 |
| 11 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Nissa FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Modica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Trapani | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Vigor Lamezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | ASD CastrumFavara | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 17 | ASD Ragusa | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna Calcio | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Martina | Melfi |
|---|---|---|
| US Palmese 1914 | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Bisceglie 1913 | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Ischia | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Nocerina | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Ebolitana | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Francavilla | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| AC Nardo | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Martina (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/11 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Real Aversa 1925 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Forio 2014 Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
Melfi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Brindisi FC Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | Manfredonia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/10 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/10 | Bisceglie 1913 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Ischia Italy Serie D |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Nocerina Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Ebolitana Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | FC Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Virtus Francavilla Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina vs Melfi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Martina win (63%). Probabilities: Martina 63%, draw 23%, Melfi 14%.
How many goals are expected in Martina vs Melfi?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Martina 1.84 · Melfi 0.73), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Martina vs Melfi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.