Prediction: Union Comercio vs CD Universidad San Martin
Team pages: Union Comercio · CD Universidad San Martin
- CD Universidad San Martin0-1Union Comercio
- Union Comercio1-2CD Universidad San Martin
- CD Universidad San Martin1-1Union Comercio
- CD Universidad San Martin3-0Union Comercio
- Union Comercio0-0CD Universidad San Martin
- CD Universidad San Martin2-0Union Comercio
| Union Comercio | Draw | CD Universidad San Martin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours CD Universidad San Martin: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Comercio | CD Universidad San Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.3 | 1.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Comercio 1–2–3 CD Universidad San Martin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | CD Universidad San Martin | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Comercio |
| 01/06/25 Peru Liga 2 | Union Comercio | 1-2 HT 0-1 | CD Universidad San Martin |
| 12/04/25 Peru Liga 2 | CD Universidad San Martin | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Union Comercio |
| 31/08/19 Peru Liga 1 | CD Universidad San Martin | 3-0 HT 0-1 | Union Comercio |
| 16/03/19 Peru Liga 1 | Union Comercio | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CD Universidad San Martin |
| 15/09/18 Peru Liga 1 | CD Universidad San Martin | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Union Comercio |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Carlos Manucci | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | CD Universidad San Martin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 19 |
| 7 | Club Ada Jaen | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 13 |
| 9 | FC San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Comercio | CD Universidad San Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Carlos Manucci | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Pirata FC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 4-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Cesar Vallejo | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Club Ada Jaen | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Universidad San Martin (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Comercio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 12 | D |
| 09/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
CD Universidad San Martin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Comercio vs CD Universidad San Martin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Comercio win (52%). Probabilities: Union Comercio 52%, draw 28%, CD Universidad San Martin 20%.
How many goals are expected in Union Comercio vs CD Universidad San Martin?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Union Comercio 1.47 · CD Universidad San Martin 0.8), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Comercio vs CD Universidad San Martin?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.