Football · Peru Liga 2 · 13/09, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Pirata FC

Team pages: Deportivo Llacuabamba · Pirata FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Deportivo Llacuabamba2.06

Pirata FC0.91

1X2

63% 21% 15%

Deportivo Llacuabamba Draw Pirata FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Llacuabamba 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWDLDL

Pirata FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDLDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Llacuabamba 2–4 Pirata FC (6 last)

Pirata FC3-1Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba2-1Pirata FC
Pirata FC4-1Deportivo Llacuabamba
Pirata FC1-0Deportivo Llacuabamba
Deportivo Llacuabamba4-0Pirata FC
Pirata FC2-1Deportivo Llacuabamba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Llacuabamba 1492 · Pirata FC 1478

	Deportivo Llacuabamba	Draw	Pirata FC
Our model	63%	22%	15%
Market	64%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pirata FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Llacuabamba	Pirata FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	1.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.40▼	Bet365 1.40
X	4.00 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 5.75▲	Pinn 6.07 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:26 +25’	1.53	4.00	4.50
08:16 +6’	1.40▼	4.33▲	5.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:19 +3’	1.37	4.24	6.30
08:57 +24’	1.37▲	4.22▼	6.17▼
11:46 +36’	1.38▲	4.18▼	6.07▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Llacuabamba 2–0–4 Pirata FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/26 Peru Liga 2	Pirata FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Llacuabamba
24/08/25 Peru Liga 2	Deportivo Llacuabamba	2-1 HT 0-0	Pirata FC
21/07/25 Peru Liga 2	Pirata FC	4-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Llacuabamba
14/06/25 Peru Liga 2	Pirata FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Llacuabamba
26/04/25 Peru Liga 2	Deportivo Llacuabamba	4-0 HT 1-0	Pirata FC
07/07/24 Peru Liga 2	Pirata FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo Llacuabamba

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Comercio	15	9	5	1	19	4	32
2	Carlos Manucci	16	9	3	4	22	12	30
3	Deportivo Llacuabamba	15	8	3	4	23	10	27
4	Pirata FC	15	7	3	5	25	20	24
5	CD Universidad San Martin	15	7	2	6	24	15	23
6	Cesar Vallejo	15	5	4	6	14	13	19
7	Club Ada Jaen	14	4	6	4	13	12	18
8	Academia Deportiva Cantolao	15	3	4	8	15	27	13
9	FC San Marcos	14	0	0	14	0	42	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Llacuabamba	Pirata FC
Academia Deportiva Cantolao	2-3 L	1-1 D
Union Comercio	1-1 D	1-2 L
Cesar Vallejo	0-2 L	1-1 D
Club Ada Jaen	0-0 D	1-3 L
CD Universidad San Martin	3-0 W	3-2 W
Carlos Manucci	0-1 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Llacuabamba (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Llacuabamba

WDWLLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	1-2	2-3	5	5	L
30/08	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
23/08	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	2	9	L
08/08	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/08	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	1-0	3-0	10	4	W
19/07	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
01/06	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
24/05	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
17/05	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	2	12	D
09/05	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	1	8	W

Pirata FC

WWLWWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/09	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	1-2	2-4	3	3	L
23/08	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/08	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
09/08	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
26/07	Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
20/07	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	1-2	3-2	7	8	W
01/06	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
24/05	Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
11/05	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	2-0	2-1	2	0	W
03/05	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-1	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Pirata FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Llacuabamba win (63%). Probabilities: Deportivo Llacuabamba 63%, draw 21%, Pirata FC 15%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Pirata FC?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Deportivo Llacuabamba 2.06 · Pirata FC 0.91), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Pirata FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.