Football · Peru Liga 2 · 12/09, 20:00

Prediction: Union Minas vs Santos FC

Team pages: Union Minas · Santos FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Union Minas1.92
Santos FC0.98
1X2
57% 25% 17%
Union Minas Draw Santos FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Minas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWWDWD
Santos FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLWLDLW
Head-to-head
Union Minas 1–0 Santos FC (1 last)
  • Santos FC0-1Union Minas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Minas 1516 · Santos FC 1482
Union MinasDrawSantos FC
Our model58%24%18%
Market57%27%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union MinasSantos FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 11.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.32.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.94.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Minas 100 Santos FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/05/26
Peru Liga 2
Santos FC0-1
HT 0-0
Union Minas

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bentin Tacna Heroica 15843 211228
2 Comerciantes FC 16682 241526
3 Union Minas 15573 231222
4 Alianza Universidad 15645 201722
5 Sport Huancayo II 15636 191521
6 Santos FC 15636 192021
7 Ayacucho FC 15546 191919
8 CD Estudiantil CNI 15447 242016
9 Deportivo Binacional 152310 10499

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion MinasSantos FC
Alianza Universidad 1-1 D 3-3 D
Sport Huancayo II 2-1 W 0-2 L
Comerciantes FC 2-2 D 1-0 W
Ayacucho FC 3-1 W 0-2 L
Deportivo Binacional 8-1 W 3-1 W
CD Estudiantil CNI 3-0 W 4-1 W
Bentin Tacna Heroica 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Union Minas (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Minas

LLWLWWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 35 D
30/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 38 W
22/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 32 D
15/08 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 3-1 56 W
07/08 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
3-0 8-1 W
24/07 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-0 38 W
19/07 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-2 18 L
29/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 25 W
23/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 32 L
15/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 77 L

Santos FC

WLLWLWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
2-1 4-1 W
30/08 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-3 117 L
17/08 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
1-1 3-3 35 D
08/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 15 L
01/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 55 W
26/07 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-2 67 L
19/07 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-0 3-1 32 W
29/05 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 CD Estudiantil CNI
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-3 L
16/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Minas vs Santos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Minas win (57%). Probabilities: Union Minas 57%, draw 25%, Santos FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Union Minas vs Santos FC?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Union Minas 1.92 · Santos FC 0.98), with a 62% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Minas vs Santos FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.