Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 05/09, 00:00
Prediction: Club Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres
Team pages: Club Mercedes · Defensores de Cambaceres
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Club Mercedes1.3
Defensores de Cambaceres1.11
1X2
Club Mercedes
Draw
Defensores de Cambaceres
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Mercedes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Defensores de Cambaceres
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Mercedes
2–2–2
Defensores de Cambaceres
(6 last)
- Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Club Mercedes
- Defensores de Cambaceres2-1Club Mercedes
- Club Mercedes1-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Defensores de Cambaceres0-0Club Mercedes
- Club Mercedes1-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Club Mercedes0-0Defensores de Cambaceres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Mercedes 1518 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1470
| Club Mercedes | Draw | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 38% | 33% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Mercedes (rating 1518 vs 1470).
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Mercedes | Defensores de Cambaceres | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 3.5 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Mercedes 2–2–2 Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 20/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 07/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 20/07/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 17/02/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
| 28/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Cambaceres |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 45 |
| 2 | CA Lugano | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | Centro Espanol | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 39 |
| 4 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 25 | 38 |
| 6 | Berazategui | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 38 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 36 |
| 9 | Club Mercedes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 22 | 36 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 28 | 32 |
| 11 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 27 |
| 12 | JJ Urquiza | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 24 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 24 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Mercedes | Defensores de Cambaceres |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud Unida San Miguel | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Sacachispas | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Argentino de Rosario | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Mercedes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/07 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Defensores de Cambaceres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 17/08 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/07 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 26/07 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/07 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 28/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 12 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Mercedes win (39%). Probabilities: Club Mercedes 39%, draw 32%, Defensores de Cambaceres 30%.
How many goals are expected in Club Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Club Mercedes 1.3 · Defensores de Cambaceres 1.11), with a 58% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.