Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/09, 20:00

Prediction: Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario

Team pages: Yupanqui · Leones de Rosario

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

Yupanqui0.81

Leones de Rosario1.14

1X2

26% 31% 43%

Yupanqui Draw Leones de Rosario

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Yupanqui 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDDLWDLL

Leones de Rosario 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLDDWLWW

Head-to-head

Yupanqui 0–1–0 Leones de Rosario (1 last)

Leones de Rosario0-0Yupanqui

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yupanqui 1467 · Leones de Rosario 1497

	Yupanqui	Draw	Leones de Rosario
Our model	25%	33%	42%
Market	26%	30%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yupanqui	Leones de Rosario
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	0.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.2	1.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.00

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.98

2 (-0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.45
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.13 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:03 +12’	3.40	3.00	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:13	3.40	2.80	2.11
19:08 +3’	3.45▲	2.84▲	2.13▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yupanqui 0–1–0 Leones de Rosario

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	Leones de Rosario	0-0 HT 0-0	Yupanqui

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lujan	26	14	7	5	37	19	49
2	Canuelas FC	26	12	9	5	29	18	45
3	Leones de Rosario	26	10	10	6	25	22	40
4	Deportivo Espanol	26	8	14	4	19	14	38
5	Central Cordoba de Rosario	26	9	9	8	24	21	36
6	General Lamadrid	26	9	9	8	22	25	36
7	Sportivo Barracas	26	10	5	11	29	26	35
8	CA Atlas	26	9	8	9	22	22	35
9	Yupanqui	26	8	9	9	31	30	33
10	El Porvenir	26	6	15	5	22	23	33
11	Central Ballester	26	8	7	11	25	27	31
12	Fenix	26	6	9	11	19	26	27
13	CA Claypole	26	6	8	12	19	34	26
14	Deportivo Muniz	26	4	10	12	17	30	22

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yupanqui	Leones de Rosario
Central Ballester	0-2 L	0-1 L
CA Atlas	0-2 L	1-0 W
El Porvenir	3-0 W	0-0 D
Canuelas FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Muniz	0-1 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Espanol	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Leones de Rosario (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yupanqui

LWLDDLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
22/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	0-2	8	9	L
14/08	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	2-2	6	3	D
08/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
03/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-2	2	7	L
27/07	Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
17/07	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
06/07	Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
27/06	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-2	4	8	L

Leones de Rosario

DLDLDDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/08	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
22/08	Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
17/08	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	3	8	W
04/08	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
31/07	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
25/07	Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
13/07	CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
04/07	Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
27/06	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Leones de Rosario win (43%). Probabilities: Yupanqui 26%, draw 31%, Leones de Rosario 43%.

How many goals are expected in Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?

The model expects 1.95 goals (Yupanqui 0.81 · Leones de Rosario 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.