Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 05/09, 20:00
Prediction: Central Cordoba de Rosario vs El Porvenir
Team pages: Central Cordoba de Rosario · El Porvenir
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.71Total
Central Cordoba de Rosario0.96
El Porvenir0.75
1X2
Central Cordoba de Rosario
Draw
El Porvenir
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba de Rosario
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
El Porvenir
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba de Rosario
3–2–1
El Porvenir
(6 last)
- El Porvenir1-0Central Cordoba de Rosario
- El Porvenir0-0Central Cordoba de Rosario
- Central Cordoba de Rosario3-1El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-1Central Cordoba de Rosario
- Central Cordoba de Rosario1-0El Porvenir
- El Porvenir0-0Central Cordoba de Rosario
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba de Rosario 1522 · El Porvenir 1493
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | Draw | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 36% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 32% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.71 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Central Cordoba de Rosario: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba de Rosario | El Porvenir | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.4 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.6 | 4.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba de Rosario 3–2–1 El Porvenir
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba de Rosario |
| 21/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba de Rosario |
| 24/04/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 3-1 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba de Rosario |
| 14/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 1-0 HT 0-0 | El Porvenir |
| 13/09/22 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | El Porvenir | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba de Rosario |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lujan | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 49 |
| 2 | Canuelas FC | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 29 | 18 | 45 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | Deportivo Espanol | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 38 |
| 5 | Central Cordoba de Rosario | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 36 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 36 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 26 | 35 |
| 8 | CA Atlas | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 22 | 35 |
| 9 | Yupanqui | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 33 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 26 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 33 |
| 11 | Central Ballester | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 31 |
| 12 | Fenix | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 27 |
| 13 | CA Claypole | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 34 | 26 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 22 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Cordoba de Rosario | El Porvenir |
|---|---|---|
| Fenix | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sportivo Barracas | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Lujan | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Leones de Rosario | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Cordoba de Rosario (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba de Rosario
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/08 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
El Porvenir
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba de Rosario vs El Porvenir?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Cordoba de Rosario win (39%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba de Rosario 39%, draw 34%, El Porvenir 27%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba de Rosario vs El Porvenir?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Central Cordoba de Rosario 0.96 · El Porvenir 0.75), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba de Rosario vs El Porvenir?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.