Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 29/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza

Team pages: Sacachispas · JJ Urquiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.48Total

Sacachispas1.05

JJ Urquiza0.43

1X2

51% 33% 16%

Sacachispas Draw JJ Urquiza

Markets

Under 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 59%

Most likely score

0-0 24%

Recent form · 10 last

Sacachispas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWWDL

JJ Urquiza 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDDLLW

Head-to-head

Sacachispas 3–3–0 JJ Urquiza (6 last)

JJ Urquiza0-0Sacachispas
Sacachispas1-0JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza1-1Sacachispas
Sacachispas1-0JJ Urquiza
JJ Urquiza0-1Sacachispas
Sacachispas1-1JJ Urquiza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1528 · JJ Urquiza 1471

	Sacachispas	Draw	JJ Urquiza
Our model	50%	36%	14%
Market	53%	30%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 1.48 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sacachispas (rating 1528 vs 1471).
H2H favours Sacachispas: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sacachispas	JJ Urquiza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.7	1.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +8’	1.70	3.00	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 3–3–0 JJ Urquiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	0-0 HT 0-0	Sacachispas
05/12/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sacachispas	1-0 HT 1-0	JJ Urquiza
27/11/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	1-1 HT 1-0	Sacachispas
16/10/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sacachispas	1-0 HT 1-0	JJ Urquiza
22/06/21 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	JJ Urquiza	0-1 HT 0-1	Sacachispas
15/10/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana	Sacachispas	1-1 HT 0-1	JJ Urquiza

Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sacachispas	25	12	6	7	29	18	42
2	CA Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
3	Centro Espanol	25	10	8	7	32	22	38
4	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn	25	10	8	7	26	23	38
5	Berazategui	25	9	10	6	26	19	37
6	Club Mercedes	25	9	9	7	25	15	36
7	Victoriano Arenas	25	8	11	6	19	14	35
8	Juventud Unida San Miguel	25	9	8	8	28	24	35
9	Puerto Nuevo	25	8	11	6	22	24	35
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	25	7	7	11	21	28	28
11	Club Leandro N. Alem	25	7	6	12	26	42	27
12	JJ Urquiza	25	4	12	9	11	21	24
13	Deportivo Paraguayo	25	5	8	12	14	31	23
14	Argentino de Rosario	25	3	12	10	23	31	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sacachispas	JJ Urquiza
Club Mercedes	0-2 L	0-5 L
Deportivo Paraguayo	2-0 W	0-0 D
CA Lugano	0-1 L	0-0 D
Argentino de Rosario	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sacachispas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sacachispas

WLWWDLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
17/08	Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
10/08	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-0	8	4	W
04/08	CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
31/07	Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
27/07	Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-1	1-1	8	8	D
11/07	Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	2-0	6	8	W
05/07	Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	1-0	12	7	W
27/06	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
15/06	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

JJ Urquiza

DLDDWDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	2-0	2-1	6	1	W
16/08	El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
08/08	Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
31/07	Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
25/07	Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
18/07	Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	1-0	3-0	1	4	W
12/07	Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
04/07	CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
27/06	Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-4	0-5	3	6	L
13/06	Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana	0-0	0-0	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacachispas win (51%). Probabilities: Sacachispas 51%, draw 33%, JJ Urquiza 16%.

How many goals are expected in Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza?

The model expects 1.48 goals (Sacachispas 1.05 · JJ Urquiza 0.43), with a 55% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza?

The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.