Football · Poland II Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszow

Team pages: Podhale Nowy Targ · Resovia Rzeszow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Podhale Nowy Targ1.75

Resovia Rzeszow1.29

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Podhale Nowy Targ Draw Resovia Rzeszow

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Podhale Nowy Targ 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWDWLL

Resovia Rzeszow 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLLWLD

Head-to-head

Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1–1 Resovia Rzeszow (3 last)

Podhale Nowy Targ2-1Resovia Rzeszow
Resovia Rzeszow1-1Podhale Nowy Targ
Podhale Nowy Targ1-3Resovia Rzeszow

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1501 · Resovia Rzeszow 1475

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Draw	Resovia Rzeszow
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Resovia Rzeszow
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.9	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +7’	1.91	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1–1 Resovia Rzeszow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Poland II Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	2-1 HT 0-0	Resovia Rzeszow
29/08/25 Poland II Liga	Resovia Rzeszow	1-1 HT 0-0	Podhale Nowy Targ
16/06/18 Poland III Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3 HT 0-1	Resovia Rzeszow

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	4	3	1	0	10	2	10
2	Znicz Pruszków	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
3	Avia Swidnik	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
4	GKS Tychy 71	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
7	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
8	Slask Wroclaw II	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
9	Stal Stalowa Wola	4	2	0	2	8	5	6
10	Gornik Leczna	4	2	0	2	8	7	6
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	4	1	2	1	10	6	5
12	Olimpia Grudziadz	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
12	Sokol Kleczew	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
14	Podhale Nowy Targ	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
15	Legia Warsaw II	4	1	0	3	6	6	3
16	Chojniczanka Chojnice	4	1	0	3	3	9	3
17	Resovia Rzeszow	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	4	0	0	4	2	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podhale Nowy Targ	Resovia Rzeszow
Slask Wroclaw II	3-1 W	1-5 L
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-2 L	1-1 D
Warta Poznan	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Resovia Rzeszow (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Podhale Nowy Targ

DLLWWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-3	2-5	4	3	L
08/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	2-5	4	9	L
05/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland Cup	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
01/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/07	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	9	6	W
18/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	3	2	W
01/07	Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies	3-0	5-1	6	0	W
27/06	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
30/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
23/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-0	2-2	5	4	D

Resovia Rzeszow

DDWWLLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
08/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
05/08	Warta Poznan Poland Cup	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
01/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-3	1-5	7	1	L
24/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
04/07	Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-4	2	1	L
09/06	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland League II Play-Offs	2-0	3-0	1	5	W
06/06	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland League II Play-Offs	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	8	9	D
23/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	7	12	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podhale Nowy Targ win (47%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 47%, draw 26%, Resovia Rzeszow 27%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 1.75 · Resovia Rzeszow 1.29), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Resovia Rzeszow?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.