Football · Poland II Liga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.53

Olimpia Grudziadz1.43

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWLWL

Olimpia Grudziadz 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWWLDDD

Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz (4 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala2-2Olimpia Grudziadz
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1500 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1539

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +7’	2.30	3.40	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-0 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
25/10/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2-2 HT 0-2	Olimpia Grudziadz
02/03/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
03/08/24 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	0-1 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	4	3	1	0	10	2	10
2	Znicz Pruszków	4	3	0	1	7	3	9
3	Avia Swidnik	4	3	0	1	8	5	9
4	GKS Tychy 71	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
7	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
8	Slask Wroclaw II	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
9	Stal Stalowa Wola	4	2	0	2	8	5	6
10	Gornik Leczna	4	2	0	2	8	7	6
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	4	1	2	1	10	6	5
12	Olimpia Grudziadz	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
12	Sokol Kleczew	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
14	Podhale Nowy Targ	4	1	1	2	7	11	4
15	Legia Warsaw II	4	1	0	3	6	6	3
16	Chojniczanka Chojnice	4	1	0	3	3	9	3
17	Resovia Rzeszow	4	0	1	3	3	9	1
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	4	0	0	4	2	12	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Olimpia Grudziadz
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-3 L	1-2 L
Lechia Zielona Góra	1-1 D	2-2 D
OKS Swit Skolwin	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

LWLLWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
08/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
05/08	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland Cup	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
02/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
25/07	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
08/07	Sigma Olomouc B Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
04/07	Polonia Bytom Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	7	2	L

Olimpia Grudziadz

DWLWWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
05/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland Cup	0-2	3-3	11	7	D
01/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
26/07	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	1-4	7	5	L
11/07	Arka Gdynia Europe Friendlies	4-1	4-2	3	2	W
04/07	Lechia Gdansk Europe Friendlies	3-1	3-1	4	2	W
30/06	Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies	4-1	4-1	1	4	W
02/06	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland League II Play-Offs	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
30/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
24/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rekord Bielsko-Biala win (39%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala 39%, draw 27%, Olimpia Grudziadz 34%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.53 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.