Football · Poland II Liga · 23/08, 16:30

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala · Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.68

Olimpia Grudziadz1.36

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala Draw Olimpia Grudziadz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDWWL

Olimpia Grudziadz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWDWLDD

Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz (4 last)

Olimpia Grudziadz2-0Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala2-2Olimpia Grudziadz
Rekord Bielsko-Biala1-1Olimpia Grudziadz
Olimpia Grudziadz0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1512 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1533

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Draw	Olimpia Grudziadz
Our model	44%	26%	30%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Olimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.6	3.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.51 → 2.33▼	Pinn 2.33
X	3.32 → 3.46▲	Pinn 3.46
2	2.56 → 2.68▲	Pinn 2.68

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:35	2.51	3.32	2.56
21:16 +2’	2.43▼	3.32	2.65▲
16:00 +1’	2.33▼	3.46▲	2.68▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1–2–1 Olimpia Grudziadz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	2-0 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
25/10/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	2-2 HT 0-2	Olimpia Grudziadz
02/03/25 Poland II Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 HT 0-0	Olimpia Grudziadz
03/08/24 Poland II Liga	Olimpia Grudziadz	0-1 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hutnik Krakow	4	3	1	0	10	2	10
2	Znicz Pruszków	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
3	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	5	3	1	1	8	6	10
4	Avia Swidnik	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
5	GKS Tychy 71	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
6	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	5	2	2	1	5	4	8
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
8	Gornik Leczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	Slask Wroclaw II	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
10	Stal Stalowa Wola	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
11	Chojniczanka Chojnice	5	2	0	3	5	9	6
12	Lechia Zielona Góra	4	1	2	1	10	6	5
13	Olimpia Grudziadz	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
13	Sokol Kleczew	4	1	2	1	5	7	5
15	Podhale Nowy Targ	5	1	2	2	8	12	5
16	Legia Warsaw II	4	1	0	3	6	6	3
17	Resovia Rzeszow	5	0	2	3	4	10	2
18	OKS Swit Skolwin	5	0	1	4	3	13	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	Olimpia Grudziadz
Sokol Kleczew	0-3 L	0-1 L
Lechia Zielona Góra	1-1 D	2-2 D
Chojniczanka Chojnice	0-2 L	2-2 D
OKS Swit Skolwin	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Olimpia Grudziadz (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

WDWLWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-3	0-3	6	4	L
08/08	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	4	1	W
02/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	3-0	7	1	W
25/07	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	0-0	1-1	2	0	D
30/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
02/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
24/04	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
18/04	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Olimpia Grudziadz

LLDWWDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
01/08	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	7	6	D
26/07	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-1	1-4	7	5	L
30/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
24/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	5	8	D
17/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
09/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
26/04	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-1	2-4	5	3	L
18/04	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rekord Bielsko-Biala win (44%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala 44%, draw 26%, Olimpia Grudziadz 30%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.68 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.