Prediction: Grimsby Borough vs Garforth Town
- Garforth Town0-0Grimsby Borough
- Grimsby Borough0-2Garforth Town
| Grimsby Borough | Draw | Garforth Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Garforth Town (rating 1461 vs 1508).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grimsby Borough | Garforth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.3 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby Borough 0–1–1 Garforth Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/25 England Northern League Division One | Garforth Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Grimsby Borough |
| 19/12/20 England County League | Grimsby Borough | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Garforth Town |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Grimsby Borough | Garforth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Newton Aycliffe | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Bridlington Town | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Silsden | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Pontefract Collieries | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Emley AFC | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Garforth Town (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grimsby Borough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Cleethorpes Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/04 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/03 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 25/02 | Redcar Athletic England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/01 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/01 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/12 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 10/12 | Heaton Stannington England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/12 | Emley AFC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Garforth Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Worksop Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Guiseley UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Emley AFC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/02 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 17/02 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 03/02 | Lincoln Utd England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/01 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/11 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/10 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/09 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grimsby Borough vs Garforth Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Garforth Town win (43%). Probabilities: Grimsby Borough 31%, draw 27%, Garforth Town 43%.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby Borough vs Garforth Town?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Grimsby Borough 1.21 · Garforth Town 1.46), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grimsby Borough vs Garforth Town?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.