Prediction: Runcorn Linnets vs Lower Breck

Team pages: Runcorn Linnets · Lower Breck

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Runcorn Linnets1.6
Lower Breck1.35
1X2
42% 26% 32%
Runcorn Linnets Draw Lower Breck
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Runcorn Linnets 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWWDLL
Lower Breck 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDDLLDDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Runcorn Linnets 1500 · Lower Breck 1486
Runcorn LinnetsDrawLower Breck
Our model42%27%31%
Market43%25%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Runcorn LinnetsLower Breck
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.81.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 5.32.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03.8 / 0.2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRuncorn LinnetsLower Breck
Bootle 0-2 L 1-1 D
Congleton Town 1-1 D 3-3 D
Avro FC 2-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Runcorn Linnets

DWWDWWWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/08 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 62 L
28/04 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 64 L
06/04 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 54 D
03/02 Chasetown
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 73 W
10/01 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 65 W
18/11 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 54 W
04/11 Congleton Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 43 D
29/10 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
2-0 2-1 35 W
21/10 Sporting Khalsa
England Northern League Division One
1-0 4-1 60 W
14/10 Mossley
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 50 D

Lower Breck

WDLDDLLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
1-0 W
28/04 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 75 D
04/04 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 76 D
17/03 Trafford
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-4 54 L
10/02 Witton Albion
England Northern League Division One
2-1 3-4 85 L
30/12 Bootle
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 57 D
22/11 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
1-3 3-3 54 D
12/11 Avro FC
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 31 L
22/10 Congleton Town
England Northern League Division One
1-2 3-3 93 D
15/10 Trafford
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Runcorn Linnets vs Lower Breck?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Runcorn Linnets win (42%). Probabilities: Runcorn Linnets 42%, draw 26%, Lower Breck 32%.

How many goals are expected in Runcorn Linnets vs Lower Breck?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Runcorn Linnets 1.6 · Lower Breck 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Runcorn Linnets vs Lower Breck?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.