Prediction: Ashington vs Dunston UTS
Team pages: Dunston UTS
- Ashington1-0Dunston UTS
- Dunston UTS2-0Ashington
- Ashington0-1Dunston UTS
- Dunston UTS2-0Ashington
| Ashington | Draw | Dunston UTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 25% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunston UTS (rating 1421 vs 1527).
- H2H favours Dunston UTS: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ashington | Dunston UTS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashington 1–0–3 Dunston UTS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 England Northern League Division One | Ashington | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunston UTS |
| 19/08/25 England Northern League Division One | Dunston UTS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ashington |
| 30/12/24 England Northern League Division One | Ashington | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Dunston UTS |
| 26/08/24 England Northern League Division One | Dunston UTS | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ashington |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ashington | Dunston UTS |
|---|---|---|
| Hallam | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Newton Aycliffe | 2-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Silsden | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Pontefract Collieries | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Dunston UTS (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashington
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Guisborough Town England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Stocksbridge PS England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/03 | Dunston UTS England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Bridlington Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/03 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/01 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 08/11 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/10 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 15/10 | Redcar Athletic England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Dunston UTS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Consett England Northern League Division One |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | Emley AFC England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Pontefract Collieries England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Ashington England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/03 | Brighouse Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/02 | North Ferriby England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/02 | Newton Aycliffe England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/01 | Hallam England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 19/12 | Blyth Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/11 | Silsden England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashington vs Dunston UTS?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dunston UTS win (49%). Probabilities: Ashington 26%, draw 25%, Dunston UTS 49%.
How many goals are expected in Ashington vs Dunston UTS?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Ashington 1.21 · Dunston UTS 1.73), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ashington vs Dunston UTS?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.