Prediction: Grimsby Borough vs Bridlington Town

Team pages: Grimsby Borough

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Grimsby Borough1.34
Bridlington Town1.63
1X2
31% 26% 43%
Grimsby Borough Draw Bridlington Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Grimsby Borough 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLDLWD
Bridlington Town 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWDLWDWW
Head-to-head
Grimsby Borough 1–2 Bridlington Town (3 last)
  • Grimsby Borough1-2Bridlington Town
  • Grimsby Borough0-2Bridlington Town
  • Grimsby Borough5-2Bridlington Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grimsby Borough 1463 · Bridlington Town 1562
Grimsby BoroughDrawBridlington Town
Our model30%26%43%
Market31%25%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bridlington Town (rating 1463 vs 1562).
  • H2H favours Bridlington Town: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Grimsby BoroughBridlington Town
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.92.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.61.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.43.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.23.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby Borough 102 Bridlington Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/04/26
England Northern League Division One
Grimsby Borough1-2
HT 1-0
Bridlington Town
21/04/25
England Northern League Division One
Grimsby Borough0-2
HT 0-2
Bridlington Town
02/01/23
England Northern League Division One
Grimsby Borough5-2
HT 2-1
Bridlington Town

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrimsby BoroughBridlington Town
Garforth Town 3-3 D 2-0 W
Brighouse Town 3-2 W 1-1 D
Heaton Stannington 0-4 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bridlington Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grimsby Borough

LLWDLLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
3-1 3-3 24 D
04/04 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 34 W
01/04 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-2 33 L
17/03 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 16 D
25/02 Redcar Athletic
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-3 76 L
31/01 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 30 L
01/01 North Ferriby
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 53 D
13/12 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
2-0 3-2 46 W
10/12 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 23 L
06/12 Emley AFC
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-2 42 L

Bridlington Town

LWWWDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/04 Blyth Town
England Northern League Division One
4-0 7-0 113 W
01/04 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-1 73 W
17/03 Ashington
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 74 D
17/02 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 64 W
20/01 Matlock Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-3 66 L
22/11 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 48 D
18/11 Bishop Auckland
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 33 W
22/10 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
3-0 3-1 74 W
14/10 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 14 W
07/10 Garforth Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-3 51 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grimsby Borough vs Bridlington Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bridlington Town win (43%). Probabilities: Grimsby Borough 31%, draw 26%, Bridlington Town 43%.

How many goals are expected in Grimsby Borough vs Bridlington Town?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Grimsby Borough 1.34 · Bridlington Town 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grimsby Borough vs Bridlington Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.