Football · England Northern League Division One · 25/08, 20:45
Prediction: Witton Albion vs Kidsgrove Ath
Team pages: Witton Albion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Witton Albion1.66
Kidsgrove Ath1.37
1X2
Witton Albion
Draw
Kidsgrove Ath
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Witton Albion
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Kidsgrove Ath
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Witton Albion
1–2–2
Kidsgrove Ath
(5 last)
- Witton Albion1-4Kidsgrove Ath
- Kidsgrove Ath1-1Witton Albion
- Witton Albion2-1Kidsgrove Ath
- Kidsgrove Ath4-0Witton Albion
- Kidsgrove Ath2-2Witton Albion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Witton Albion 1438 · Kidsgrove Ath 1513
| Witton Albion | Draw | Kidsgrove Ath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidsgrove Ath (rating 1438 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Kidsgrove Ath: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Witton Albion | Kidsgrove Ath | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Witton Albion 1–2–2 Kidsgrove Ath
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 England Northern League Division One | Witton Albion | 1-4 HT 1-4 | Kidsgrove Ath |
| 28/10/25 England Northern League Division One | Kidsgrove Ath | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Witton Albion |
| 04/01/25 England Northern League Division One | Witton Albion | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Kidsgrove Ath |
| 13/08/24 England Northern League Division One | Kidsgrove Ath | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Witton Albion |
| 01/02/17 England Northern League Division One | Kidsgrove Ath | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Witton Albion |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Witton Albion | Kidsgrove Ath |
|---|---|---|
| Lower Breck | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Avro FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Witton Albion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Bury England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Stalybridge England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/02 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/02 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/01 | Atherton Collieries England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/12 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/10 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/10 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/10 | Stafford Rangers England Northern League Division One |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
Kidsgrove Ath
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04 | Lower Breck England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/03 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/03 | Clitheroe England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 10/03 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/01 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 13/01 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/12 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
4-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/10 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 14/10 | Sporting Khalsa England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/10 | Darlaston Town 1874 England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Witton Albion vs Kidsgrove Ath?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Witton Albion win (44%). Probabilities: Witton Albion 44%, draw 25%, Kidsgrove Ath 31%.
How many goals are expected in Witton Albion vs Kidsgrove Ath?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Witton Albion 1.66 · Kidsgrove Ath 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Witton Albion vs Kidsgrove Ath?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.