Football · Rwanda National League · 11/09, 15:00
Prediction: Musanze FC vs SC Kiyovu
Team pages: SC Kiyovu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.6Total
Musanze FC0.77
SC Kiyovu0.83
1X2
Musanze FC
Draw
SC Kiyovu
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Musanze FC
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
SC Kiyovu
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Musanze FC
3–2–1
SC Kiyovu
(6 last)
- Musanze FC0-0SC Kiyovu
- SC Kiyovu0-0Musanze FC
- Musanze FC3-0SC Kiyovu
- SC Kiyovu0-1Musanze FC
- SC Kiyovu3-1Musanze FC
- Musanze FC1-0SC Kiyovu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Musanze FC 1479 · SC Kiyovu 1530
| Musanze FC | Draw | SC Kiyovu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Market | 33% | 31% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.6 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Kiyovu (rating 1479 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Musanze FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Musanze FC | SC Kiyovu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 5.2 | 1.5 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Musanze FC 3–2–1 SC Kiyovu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | SC Kiyovu |
| 20/10/25 Rwanda National League | SC Kiyovu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Musanze FC |
| 15/03/25 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SC Kiyovu |
| 08/12/24 Rwanda National League | SC Kiyovu | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Musanze FC |
| 30/03/24 Rwanda National League | SC Kiyovu | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Musanze FC |
| 04/11/23 Rwanda National League | Musanze FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SC Kiyovu |
Standings · Rwanda National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amagaju | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Marines FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Mukura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Gicumbi FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gorilla FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Etincelles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Sunrise FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Al Merrikh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | APR FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bugesera | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Musanze FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Rayon Sports FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Police FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Kiyovu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | AS Kigali | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Etoile de L'Est | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Gasogi Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Musanze FC | SC Kiyovu |
|---|---|---|
| Gasogi Utd | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Police FC | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Al Hilal Omdurman | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Amagaju | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Gorilla FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| AS Muhanga | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Kiyovu (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Musanze FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | AS Kigali Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Marines FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Police FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 06/05 | Rutsiro FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | SC Kiyovu Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Amagaju Rwanda National League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 22/03 | AS Muhanga Rwanda National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
SC Kiyovu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Gorilla FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Rayon Sports FC Rwanda National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Police FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | AS Muhanga Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Al Merrikh Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Amagaju Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Musanze FC Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Etincelles Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Al Hilal Omdurman Rwanda National League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Gasogi Utd Rwanda National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Musanze FC vs SC Kiyovu?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Kiyovu win (35%). Probabilities: Musanze FC 31%, draw 34%, SC Kiyovu 35%.
How many goals are expected in Musanze FC vs SC Kiyovu?
The model expects 1.6 goals (Musanze FC 0.77 · SC Kiyovu 0.83), with a 60% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Musanze FC vs SC Kiyovu?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.