Football · Argentina Nacional B · 30/08, 20:30
Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Team pages: CA Estudiantes Caseros · Ferro Carril Oeste
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
CA Estudiantes Caseros1.02
Ferro Carril Oeste0.99
1X2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Draw
Ferro Carril Oeste
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ferro Carril Oeste
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Estudiantes Caseros
3–1–2
Ferro Carril Oeste
(6 last)
- Ferro Carril Oeste0-1CA Estudiantes Caseros
- Ferro Carril Oeste2-2CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-0Ferro Carril Oeste
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-2Ferro Carril Oeste
- Ferro Carril Oeste0-2CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-2Ferro Carril Oeste
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1513 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1545
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 34% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 3–1–2 Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 23/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 2-2 HT 2-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 03/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 09/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 05/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 05/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 52 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Colon | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 38 | 24 | 43 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 40 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 22 | 35 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 29 | 32 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
| 12 | CA San Miguel | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 29 |
| 13 | CA Chaco For Ever | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 28 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 28 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 27 |
| 16 | All Boys | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 27 |
| 17 | Defensores de Belgrano | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 26 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 11/07 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (34%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 34%, draw 34%, Ferro Carril Oeste 32%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model expects 2 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.02 · Ferro Carril Oeste 0.99), with a 56% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.