Football · Argentina Nacional B · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu
Team pages: CA Colegiales · Deportivo Maipu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
CA Colegiales1.25
Deportivo Maipu0.9
1X2
CA Colegiales
Draw
Deportivo Maipu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Colegiales
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Maipu
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Colegiales
1–2
Deportivo Maipu
(3 last)
- Deportivo Maipu3-1CA Colegiales
- Deportivo Maipu1-2CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales0-1Deportivo Maipu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Colegiales 1495 · Deportivo Maipu 1528
| CA Colegiales | Draw | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Maipu: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Colegiales | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Colegiales 1–0–2 Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 28/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-2 HT 0-2 | CA Colegiales |
| 25/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Atlanta | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 11 | 33 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Atletico Rafaela | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Club Atletico Temperley | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 13 | 25 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 22 |
| 8 | Quilmes | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 21 |
| 11 | San Martin SJ | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | CA Colegiales | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 20 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 20 |
| 14 | Patronato Parana | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 20 |
| 15 | Almagro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 19 |
| 16 | CA Guemes | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 19 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 18 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Colegiales | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Agropecuario | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Guemes | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| San Martin SJ | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Nueva Chicago | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-1 D | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 11/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Colegiales win (43%). Probabilities: CA Colegiales 43%, draw 32%, Deportivo Maipu 25%.
How many goals are expected in CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model expects 2.15 goals (CA Colegiales 1.25 · Deportivo Maipu 0.9), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.