Football · England Northern League Division One · 18/08, 20:45

Prediction: Sutton Coldfield vs Loughborough University

Team pages: Sutton Coldfield · Loughborough University

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Sutton Coldfield1.62

Loughborough University1.51

1X2

40% 26% 35%

Sutton Coldfield Draw Loughborough University

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sutton Coldfield 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Loughborough University 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDWWWD

Head-to-head

Sutton Coldfield 0–2–0 Loughborough University (2 last)

Loughborough University2-2Sutton Coldfield
Loughborough University1-1Sutton Coldfield

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutton Coldfield 1474 · Loughborough University 1520

	Sutton Coldfield	Draw	Loughborough University
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loughborough University (rating 1474 vs 1520).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutton Coldfield	Loughborough University
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:19 +16’	2.25	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Coldfield 0–2–0 Loughborough University

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/25 England Northern League Division One	Loughborough University	2-2 HT 2-1	Sutton Coldfield
08/03/25 England Northern League Division One	Loughborough University	1-1 HT 0-1	Sutton Coldfield

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutton Coldfield	Loughborough University
Bourne Town	1-2 L	1-2 L
Anstey Nomads	2-5 L	1-1 D
Mickleover Sports	2-2 D	2-3 L
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	5-3 W	3-0 W
Shepshed Dynamo	2-1 W	2-0 W
Rugby Borough	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Loughborough University (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sutton Coldfield

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	St Ives Town England Northern League Division One	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
07/07	Leamington UK Friendlies	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
18/04	Carlton Town England Northern League Division One	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
03/02	Bourne Town England Northern League Division One	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
01/01	Lichfield City England Northern League Division One	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/12	Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One	2-1	2-5	1	6	L
04/11	Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One	1-1	2-2	9	2	D
28/10	AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One	3-2	5-3	0	4	W
18/10	Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
14/10	Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One	0-2	0-3	8	2	L

Loughborough University

LLLDWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Belper Town England Northern League Division One	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
06/04	Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
04/04	Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
21/03	AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One	1-0	3-0	13	6	W
21/02	Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
03/02	Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
10/01	Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
01/01	Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One	1-0	2-3	6	3	L
26/12	Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
15/11	Bourne Town England Northern League Division One	0-2	1-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutton Coldfield vs Loughborough University?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Coldfield win (40%). Probabilities: Sutton Coldfield 40%, draw 26%, Loughborough University 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sutton Coldfield vs Loughborough University?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Sutton Coldfield 1.62 · Loughborough University 1.51), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutton Coldfield vs Loughborough University?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.