Prediction: Ossett United vs Matlock Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Ossett United1.21
Matlock Town1.96
1X2
23% 23% 54%
Ossett United Draw Matlock Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ossett United 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LDDLWLLLLD
Matlock Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLLLDW
Head-to-head
Ossett United 0–1 Matlock Town (1 last)
  • Ossett United1-2Matlock Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ossett United 1442 · Matlock Town 1537
Ossett UnitedDrawMatlock Town
Our model22%24%54%
Market23%23%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matlock Town (rating 1442 vs 1537).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ossett UnitedMatlock Town
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.42.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.71 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.72.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.34 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ossett United 001 Matlock Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/08/21
Club Friendly List
Ossett United1-2
HT 1-1
Matlock Town

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOssett UnitedMatlock Town
Bradford P A 1-2 L 1-2 L
Brighouse Town 0-1 L 3-1 W
Redcar Athletic 2-3 L 2-4 L
Pontefract Collieries 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ossett United

LDDLWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Emley AFC
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/04 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-2 30 L
10/04 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-2 97 L
04/04 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 62 L
14/03 Redcar Athletic
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-3 53 L
10/03 Blyth Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-0 43 W
07/03 Blyth Spartans
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-1 14 L
10/02 Bishop Auckland
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 14 D
17/01 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 66 D
13/01 Consett
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-3 75 L

Matlock Town

DWWWWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Carlton Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 4-1 36 W
18/07 Rotherham
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 40 D
14/07 Quorn
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-3 81 L
28/04 Bradford P A
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 45 L
25/03 Redcar Athletic
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-4 21 L
03/03 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
4-1 7-2 43 W
31/01 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-1 59 W
20/01 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 3-2 66 W
17/01 Brighouse Town
England Northern League Division One
1-1 3-1 55 W
13/12 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 47 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ossett United vs Matlock Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Matlock Town win (54%). Probabilities: Ossett United 23%, draw 23%, Matlock Town 54%.

How many goals are expected in Ossett United vs Matlock Town?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Ossett United 1.21 · Matlock Town 1.96), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ossett United vs Matlock Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.