Prediction: Nantwich Town vs Chasetown

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Nantwich Town1.54
Chasetown1.32
1X2
42% 26% 32%
Nantwich Town Draw Chasetown
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nantwich Town 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLWLWDWL
Chasetown 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LDDDDWLDLW
Head-to-head
Nantwich Town 2–1 Chasetown (3 last)
  • Nantwich Town3-0Chasetown
  • Nantwich Town0-2Chasetown
  • Nantwich Town1-0Chasetown
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantwich Town 1501 · Chasetown 1498
Nantwich TownDrawChasetown
Our model41%27%31%
Market43%25%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Nantwich Town: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Nantwich TownChasetown
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.71 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.31.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nantwich Town 201 Chasetown

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/10/25
England Northern League Division One
Nantwich Town3-0
HT 2-0
Chasetown
01/02/25
England Northern League Division One
Nantwich Town0-2
HT 0-0
Chasetown
16/01/24
England Northern League Division One
Nantwich Town1-0
HT 1-0
Chasetown

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNantwich TownChasetown
Clitheroe 1-2 L 1-1 D
Kidsgrove Ath 3-1 W 2-3 L
Runcorn Linnets 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chasetown (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantwich Town

WLLLWLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Chester
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
14/04 Darlaston Town 1874
England Northern League Division One
2-1 5-1 53 W
03/04 Mossley
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 32 D
25/03 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 52 W
17/02 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 23 L
13/01 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 65 W
09/12 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-3 35 L
18/11 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-2 24 L
11/11 Bury
England Northern League Division One
0-2 1-4 33 L
28/10 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 15 W

Chasetown

LDDDDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Boldmere St Michaels
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-1 30 W
03/02 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 43 L
25/11 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-1 32 D
15/10 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-3 26 L
30/09 Wythenshawe Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 74 W
16/09 Banbury
England FA Cup Qualification
1-1 1-1 66 D
13/09 Banbury
England FA Cup Qualification
0-0 D
02/09 Worcester City
England FA Cup Qualification
1-0 1-1 74 D
30/08 Worcester City
England FA Cup Qualification
1-1 D
19/08 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
0-1 2-3 93 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantwich Town vs Chasetown?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantwich Town win (42%). Probabilities: Nantwich Town 42%, draw 26%, Chasetown 32%.

How many goals are expected in Nantwich Town vs Chasetown?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Nantwich Town 1.54 · Chasetown 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantwich Town vs Chasetown?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.