Football · England Northern League Division One · 18/08, 20:45
Prediction: Clitheroe vs Lower Breck
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Clitheroe1.52
Lower Breck1.65
1X2
Clitheroe
Draw
Lower Breck
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Clitheroe
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Lower Breck
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clitheroe 1446 · Lower Breck 1473
| Clitheroe | Draw | Lower Breck | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Clitheroe | Lower Breck | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.9 | 2.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Clitheroe | Lower Breck |
|---|---|---|
| Kidsgrove Ath | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Trafford | 0-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clitheroe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Curzon Ashton UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Morecambe Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Bury Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 17/03 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/02 | Nantwich Town England Northern League Division One |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/01 | Vauxhall Motors England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 27/01 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
0-3 | 0-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 13/01 | Scunthorpe England FA Trophy |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/12 | Shifnal Town England Northern League Division One |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 13/12 | York England FA Trophy |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Lower Breck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Avro FC Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 28/04 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Kidsgrove Ath England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 17/03 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/02 | Witton Albion England Northern League Division One |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/12 | Bootle England Northern League Division One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 22/11 | Newcastle Town England Northern League Division One |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/11 | Avro FC England Northern League Division One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/10 | Congleton Town England Northern League Division One |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/10 | Trafford England Northern League Division One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clitheroe vs Lower Breck?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Lower Breck win (40%). Probabilities: Clitheroe 35%, draw 25%, Lower Breck 40%.
How many goals are expected in Clitheroe vs Lower Breck?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Clitheroe 1.52 · Lower Breck 1.65), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Clitheroe vs Lower Breck?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.