Football · China Super League · 18/08, 13:35
Prediction: Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Team pages: Shanghai Shenhua · Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Shanghai Shenhua1.68
Beijing Guoan1.72
1X2
Shanghai Shenhua
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Shanghai Shenhua
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shanghai Shenhua
2–3–1
Beijing Guoan
(6 last)
- Beijing Guoan1-1Shanghai Shenhua
- Beijing Guoan1-3Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua2-2Beijing Guoan
- Shanghai Shenhua2-1Beijing Guoan
- Beijing Guoan2-1Shanghai Shenhua
- Shanghai Shenhua1-1Beijing Guoan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1539 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Shanghai Shenhua: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Shenhua | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 2.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 3.2 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shanghai Shenhua 2–3–1 Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 19/07/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 01/03/25 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Beijing Guoan |
| 22/08/24 China FA Cup | Shanghai Shenhua | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 04/08/24 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 13/04/24 China Super League | Shanghai Shenhua | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 34 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 33 |
| 4 | Qingdao West Coast | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 33 |
| 5 | Beijing Guoan | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 32 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 32 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 8 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 26 |
| 9 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 25 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 35 | 25 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | Liaoning Ironman | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 24 |
| 13 | Henan | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 23 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Shenhua | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| Zhejiang | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Shenhua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Henan China Super League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup |
4-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/06 | Guangdong GZ-Power China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Beijing Guoan win (39%). Probabilities: Shanghai Shenhua 37%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 39%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Shanghai Shenhua 1.68 · Beijing Guoan 1.72), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.