Football · China Super League · 28/08, 13:35
Prediction: Dalian Young Boy vs Beijing Guoan
Team pages: Dalian Young Boy · Beijing Guoan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Dalian Young Boy1.4
Beijing Guoan1.82
1X2
Dalian Young Boy
Draw
Beijing Guoan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dalian Young Boy
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Beijing Guoan
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dalian Young Boy
0–1–3
Beijing Guoan
(4 last)
- Beijing Guoan3-0Dalian Young Boy
- Beijing Guoan4-2Dalian Young Boy
- Dalian Young Boy1-1Beijing Guoan
- Dalian Young Boy0-2Beijing Guoan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beijing Guoan (rating 1497 vs 1616).
- H2H favours Beijing Guoan: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dalian Young Boy | Beijing Guoan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Young Boy 0–1–3 Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 26/09/25 China Super League | Beijing Guoan | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 21/06/25 China FA Cup | Dalian Young Boy | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Beijing Guoan |
| 05/05/25 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Beijing Guoan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 48 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 32 | 36 |
| 3 | Qingdao West Coast | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 29 | 36 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 35 |
| 5 | Dalian Young Boy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 33 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 33 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 26 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 25 |
| 12 | Liaoning Ironman | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 24 |
| 13 | Henan | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 23 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 18 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 16 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dalian Young Boy | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zhejiang | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Beijing Guoan (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Beijing Guoan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 18/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalian Young Boy vs Beijing Guoan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Beijing Guoan win (47%). Probabilities: Dalian Young Boy 29%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 47%.
How many goals are expected in Dalian Young Boy vs Beijing Guoan?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Dalian Young Boy 1.4 · Beijing Guoan 1.82), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Dalian Young Boy vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.