Football · China Super League · 23/08, 14:00
Prediction: Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Young Boy
Team pages: Chongqing Tonglianglong · Dalian Young Boy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Chongqing Tonglianglong1.35
Dalian Young Boy1.11
1X2
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw
Dalian Young Boy
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chongqing Tonglianglong
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Dalian Young Boy
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2–1–2
Dalian Young Boy
(5 last)
- Dalian Young Boy1-0Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Chongqing Tonglianglong3-0Dalian Young Boy
- Dalian Young Boy2-2Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Dalian Young Boy1-0Chongqing Tonglianglong
- Chongqing Tonglianglong2-1Dalian Young Boy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chongqing Tonglianglong 1480 · Dalian Young Boy 1501
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Draw | Dalian Young Boy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Dalian Young Boy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.6 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chongqing Tonglianglong 2–1–2 Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 China Super League | Dalian Young Boy | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
| 06/10/24 China Division 1 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Dalian Young Boy |
| 26/05/24 China Division 1 | Dalian Young Boy | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
| 22/10/23 China Division 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 1-0 | Chongqing Tonglianglong |
| 09/09/23 China Division 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dalian Young Boy |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 35 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 34 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 33 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 33 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 8 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 26 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 26 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 25 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | Liaoning Ironman | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 24 |
| 13 | Henan | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 23 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Dalian Young Boy |
|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Port | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Zhejiang | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Liaoning Ironman | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dalian Young Boy (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chongqing Tonglianglong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | Qingdao West Coast China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Ningbo Professional FC China FA Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Dalian Young Boy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Henan China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Wuhan Three Towns China Super League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China FA Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Young Boy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chongqing Tonglianglong win (41%). Probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong 41%, draw 29%, Dalian Young Boy 30%.
How many goals are expected in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Young Boy?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Chongqing Tonglianglong 1.35 · Dalian Young Boy 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Young Boy?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.