Football · China Super League · 23/08, 13:00
Prediction: Liaoning Ironman vs Henan
Team pages: Liaoning Ironman · Henan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Liaoning Ironman1.41
Henan1.62
1X2
Liaoning Ironman
Draw
Henan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Liaoning Ironman
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Henan
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Liaoning Ironman
1–2–3
Henan
(6 last)
- Henan4-0Liaoning Ironman
- Liaoning Ironman2-1Henan
- Liaoning Ironman1-2Henan
- Henan1-1Liaoning Ironman
- Henan2-1Liaoning Ironman
- Liaoning Ironman1-1Henan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liaoning Ironman 1475 · Henan 1501
| Liaoning Ironman | Draw | Henan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Henan: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Liaoning Ironman | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Liaoning Ironman 1–2–3 Henan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 China Super League | Henan | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 24/04/18 China FA Cup | Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Henan |
| 15/07/17 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Henan |
| 12/03/17 China Super League | Henan | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 20/07/16 China Super League | Henan | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Liaoning Ironman |
| 02/04/16 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 29 | 35 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 34 |
| 4 | Shandong Taishan | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 33 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 33 |
| 7 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 8 | Shanghai Port | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 32 | 26 |
| 9 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 26 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 25 |
| 11 | Zhejiang | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | Liaoning Ironman | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 24 |
| 13 | Henan | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 23 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 30 | 17 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 15 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Liaoning Ironman | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Dalian Young Boy | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Qingdao West Coast | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Shandong Taishan | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Shanghai Port | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Zhejiang | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalian Kewei China FA Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Henan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/07 | Dalian Young Boy China FA Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China FA Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liaoning Ironman vs Henan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Henan win (42%). Probabilities: Liaoning Ironman 32%, draw 26%, Henan 42%.
How many goals are expected in Liaoning Ironman vs Henan?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Liaoning Ironman 1.41 · Henan 1.62), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Liaoning Ironman vs Henan?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.