Football · Belgium First Division A · 03/09, 20:30

Prediction: Gent vs OH Leuven

Team pages: Gent · OH Leuven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Gent1.77

OH Leuven1.01

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Gent Draw OH Leuven

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gent 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDDLDWWW

OH Leuven 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDLLLL

Head-to-head

Gent 1–1–4 OH Leuven (6 last)

Gent1-3OH Leuven
OH Leuven4-0Gent
OH Leuven0-0Gent
Gent3-0OH Leuven
Gent0-1OH Leuven
OH Leuven2-1Gent

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gent (rating 1521 vs 1463).
H2H favours OH Leuven: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gent	OH Leuven
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	2.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.4	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:22

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.63▲	Pinn 1.63
X	3.99 → 4.04▲	Pinn 4.04
2	5.06 → 5.15▲	Pinn 5.15

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11	1.62	3.99	5.06
05:22	1.63▲	4.04▲	5.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gent 1–1–4 OH Leuven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Gent	1-3 HT 0-2	OH Leuven
02/11/25 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	4-0 HT 2-0	Gent
26/01/25 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	0-0 HT 0-0	Gent
29/09/24 Belgium First Division A	Gent	3-0 HT 2-0	OH Leuven
12/05/24 Belgium First Division A	Gent	0-1 HT 0-1	OH Leuven
14/04/24 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	2-1 HT 2-1	Gent

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Charleroi	4	4	0	0	9	2	12
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	8	2	9
3	Gent	3	3	0	0	6	2	9
4	Zulte-Waregem	4	2	2	0	8	3	8
5	Standard Liege	4	2	2	0	9	6	8
6	Union Saint Gilloise	3	2	1	0	8	1	7
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	12	8	7
8	Lommel	4	2	1	1	6	2	7
9	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	10	9	7
10	Sint-Truidense	3	1	2	0	8	5	5
11	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
12	SK Beveren	4	1	0	3	2	10	3
13	Cercle Brugge	4	0	2	2	5	7	2
14	KV Mechelen	4	0	2	2	5	9	2
15	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	1	3	4	8	1
16	Westerlo	4	0	1	3	5	14	1
17	OH Leuven	3	0	0	3	2	8	0
18	KV Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gent	OH Leuven
Club Brugge	2-1 W	0-3 L
Genk	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Gent (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gent

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	1	9	W
16/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
21/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
16/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
03/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	7	2	L

OH Leuven

LLDLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
15/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
09/08	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
23/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
19/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	6	0	D
15/05	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	1	2	W
08/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
02/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	3-0	3-3	3	5	D
25/04	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
21/04	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gent vs OH Leuven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gent win (54%). Probabilities: Gent 54%, draw 26%, OH Leuven 20%.

How many goals are expected in Gent vs OH Leuven?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Gent 1.77 · OH Leuven 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gent vs OH Leuven?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.