Football · Belgium First Division A · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: Genk vs Gent

Team pages: Genk · Gent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Genk1.26

Gent1.11

1X2

38% 30% 31%

Genk Draw Gent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Genk 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWDLWDW

Gent 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Genk 3–3–0 Gent (6 last)

Gent0-0Genk
Genk3-0Gent
Gent1-1Genk
Gent1-4Genk
Genk4-0Gent
Genk0-0Gent

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Genk: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Genk	Gent
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.2	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.94 → 1.94	Pinn 1.94
X	3.39 → 3.39	Pinn 3.39
2	3.96 → 3.96	Pinn 3.96

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
18:46 +343’	1.94	3.39	3.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk 3–3–0 Gent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Gent	0-0 HT 0-0	Genk
01/03/26 Belgium First Division A	Genk	3-0 HT 1-0	Gent
09/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Gent	1-1 HT 0-1	Genk
18/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Gent	1-4 HT 1-2	Genk
30/03/25 Belgium First Division A	Genk	4-0 HT 1-0	Gent
23/02/25 Belgium First Division A	Genk	0-0 HT 0-0	Gent

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	5	5	0	0	10	2	15
2	Union Saint Gilloise	5	4	1	0	14	3	13
3	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	9	2	12
4	Charleroi	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
5	Zulte-Waregem	5	3	2	0	10	3	11
6	Standard Liege	5	3	2	0	10	6	11
7	Sint-Truidense	5	2	2	1	12	8	8
8	Genk	4	2	1	1	12	8	7
9	Lommel	5	2	1	2	6	3	7
10	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
11	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
12	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
13	SK Beveren	4	1	0	3	2	10	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	KV Mechelen	5	0	2	3	5	13	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	5	0	1	4	4	12	1
17	OH Leuven	4	0	0	4	2	9	0
18	KV Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	1	12	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genk

LWDDWDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
22/08	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	4	2	D
15/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	2-2	3-2	8	6	W
09/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
31/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
23/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
19/05	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
16/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
10/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
02/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	6	2	L

Gent

DDDLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	0	1	W
03/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
30/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	1	9	W
16/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
21/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
16/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	4	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genk vs Gent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genk win (38%). Probabilities: Genk 38%, draw 30%, Gent 31%.

How many goals are expected in Genk vs Gent?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Genk 1.26 · Gent 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Genk vs Gent?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.