Football · Belgium First Division A · 12/09, 20:45

Prediction: OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

Team pages: OH Leuven · Cercle Brugge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

OH Leuven1.91

Cercle Brugge1.63

1X2

44% 24% 32%

OH Leuven Draw Cercle Brugge

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

OH Leuven 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLLLLL

Cercle Brugge 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLDDLL

Head-to-head

OH Leuven 1–1–4 Cercle Brugge (6 last)

OH Leuven0-2Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge1-2OH Leuven
Cercle Brugge1-0OH Leuven
OH Leuven1-1Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven1-2Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge3-2OH Leuven

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cercle Brugge: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	3.4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.96

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.60
X	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65
2	2.56 → 2.56	Pinn 2.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:31 +43’	2.60	3.65	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OH Leuven 1–1–4 Cercle Brugge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/12/25 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	0-2 HT 0-2	Cercle Brugge
08/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	1-2 HT 1-0	OH Leuven
22/12/24 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	1-0 HT 0-0	OH Leuven
18/08/24 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	1-1 HT 1-1	Cercle Brugge
16/12/23 Belgium First Division A	OH Leuven	1-2 HT 1-0	Cercle Brugge
07/10/23 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	3-2 HT 2-2	OH Leuven

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	5	5	0	0	10	2	15
2	Union Saint Gilloise	5	4	1	0	14	3	13
3	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	9	2	12
4	Charleroi	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
5	Zulte-Waregem	5	3	2	0	10	3	11
6	Standard Liege	5	3	2	0	10	6	11
7	Sint-Truidense	5	2	2	1	12	8	8
8	Genk	4	2	1	1	12	8	7
9	Lommel	5	2	1	2	6	3	7
10	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
11	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
12	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
13	SK Beveren	4	1	0	3	2	10	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	KV Mechelen	5	0	2	3	5	13	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	5	0	1	4	4	12	1
17	OH Leuven	4	0	0	4	2	9	0
18	KV Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	1	12	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OH Leuven	Cercle Brugge
Standard Liege	1-2 L	2-2 D
Club Brugge	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cercle Brugge (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OH Leuven

LDLWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
29/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
15/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
09/08	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
23/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
19/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	6	0	D
15/05	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	1	2	W
08/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
02/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	3-0	3-3	3	5	D
25/04	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	4	2	L

Cercle Brugge

DWWWLLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
23/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
14/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-2	3-3	10	3	D
08/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	11	2	D
09/05	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-4	5	3	L
01/05	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-3	6	1	L
24/04	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
19/04	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/04	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	9	2	W
04/04	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-2	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OH Leuven win (44%). Probabilities: OH Leuven 44%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 32%.

How many goals are expected in OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

The model expects 3.54 goals (OH Leuven 1.91 · Cercle Brugge 1.63), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.