Football · Belgium First Division A · 11/09, 20:45

Prediction: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht

Team pages: KV Mechelen · Anderlecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

KV Mechelen1.2

Anderlecht1.58

1X2

28% 27% 45%

KV Mechelen Draw Anderlecht

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

KV Mechelen 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLDLDL

Anderlecht 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KV Mechelen 1–1–4 Anderlecht (6 last)

Anderlecht2-2KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen1-2Anderlecht
KV Mechelen1-0Anderlecht
Anderlecht3-1KV Mechelen
Anderlecht4-1KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen1-3Anderlecht

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (rating 1434 vs 1546).
H2H favours Anderlecht: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KV Mechelen	Anderlecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	2.1 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.84

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.11 → 3.93▼	Pinn 3.93
X	3.63 → 3.61▼	Pinn 3.61
2	1.83 → 1.93▲	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +10’	4.11	3.63	1.83
19:46 +60’	3.93▼	3.61▼	1.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KV Mechelen 1–1–4 Anderlecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	2-2 HT 1-1	KV Mechelen
18/04/26 Belgium First Division A	KV Mechelen	1-2 HT 1-0	Anderlecht
15/03/26 Belgium First Division A	KV Mechelen	1-0 HT 0-0	Anderlecht
01/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	3-1 HT 2-1	KV Mechelen
26/01/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	4-1 HT 2-0	KV Mechelen
17/08/24 Belgium First Division A	KV Mechelen	1-3 HT 1-2	Anderlecht

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	5	5	0	0	10	2	15
2	Union Saint Gilloise	5	4	1	0	14	3	13
3	Club Brugge	5	4	0	1	9	2	12
4	Charleroi	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
5	Zulte-Waregem	5	3	2	0	10	3	11
6	Standard Liege	5	3	2	0	10	6	11
7	Sint-Truidense	5	2	2	1	12	8	8
8	Genk	4	2	1	1	12	8	7
9	Lommel	5	2	1	2	6	3	7
10	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	10	10	7
11	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	3	5	6
12	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	9	14	4
13	SK Beveren	4	1	0	3	2	10	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	5	10	2
15	KV Mechelen	5	0	2	3	5	13	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	5	0	1	4	4	12	1
17	OH Leuven	4	0	0	4	2	9	0
18	KV Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	1	12	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KV Mechelen	Anderlecht
RAAL La Louviere	2-2 D	2-1 W
Gent	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sint-Truidense	0-3 L	3-1 W
Club Brugge	2-2 D	1-3 L
Union Saint Gilloise	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KV Mechelen

WLDDLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-4	5	5	L
29/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-2	2-2	6	4	D
22/08	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
16/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
09/08	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
24/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
21/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
17/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
10/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
03/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	7	5	W

Anderlecht

LLDDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
30/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
09/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	10	5	W
24/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-4	1-5	1	5	L
21/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
17/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
10/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
03/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
26/04	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-3	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Anderlecht win (45%). Probabilities: KV Mechelen 28%, draw 27%, Anderlecht 45%.

How many goals are expected in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

The model expects 2.79 goals (KV Mechelen 1.2 · Anderlecht 1.58), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.