Football · Belgium First Division A · 13/09, 18:30
Prediction: Zulte-Waregem vs Charleroi
Team pages: Zulte-Waregem · Charleroi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Zulte-Waregem1.43
Charleroi1.39
1X2
Zulte-Waregem
Draw
Charleroi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Zulte-Waregem
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Charleroi
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zulte-Waregem
2–1–3
Charleroi
(6 last)
- Zulte-Waregem1-0Charleroi
- Charleroi1-2Zulte-Waregem
- Charleroi3-2Zulte-Waregem
- Zulte-Waregem1-3Charleroi
- Zulte-Waregem1-1Charleroi
- Charleroi3-0Zulte-Waregem
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zulte-Waregem 1630 · Charleroi 1528
| Zulte-Waregem | Draw | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zulte-Waregem (rating 1630 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Charleroi: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zulte-Waregem | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zulte-Waregem 2–1–3 Charleroi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Belgium First Division A | Zulte-Waregem | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Charleroi |
| 20/09/25 Belgium First Division A | Charleroi | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zulte-Waregem |
| 08/04/23 Belgium First Division A | Charleroi | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Zulte-Waregem |
| 21/08/22 Belgium First Division A | Zulte-Waregem | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Charleroi |
| 29/06/22 Europe Friendlies | Zulte-Waregem | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Charleroi |
| 10/04/22 Belgium First Division A | Charleroi | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Zulte-Waregem |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | Union Saint Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Zulte-Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Genk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 8 |
| 10 | Sint-Truidense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lommel | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 12 | Antwerp | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Westerlo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zulte-Waregem | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| KV Kortrijk | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Westerlo | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Union Saint Gilloise | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Genk | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zulte-Waregem (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zulte-Waregem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Charleroi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zulte-Waregem vs Charleroi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zulte-Waregem win (37%). Probabilities: Zulte-Waregem 37%, draw 28%, Charleroi 36%.
How many goals are expected in Zulte-Waregem vs Charleroi?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Zulte-Waregem 1.43 · Charleroi 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs Charleroi?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.