Football · Malawi Super League · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: Blue Eagles vs Civil Service Utd
Team pages: Blue Eagles · Civil Service Utd
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Blue Eagles1.85
Civil Service Utd0.51
1X2
Blue Eagles
Draw
Civil Service Utd
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Blue Eagles
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Civil Service Utd
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Blue Eagles
0–3–3
Civil Service Utd
(6 last)
- Civil Service Utd1-1Blue Eagles
- Civil Service Utd3-1Blue Eagles
- Blue Eagles0-2Civil Service Utd
- Civil Service Utd0-0Blue Eagles
- Blue Eagles0-0Civil Service Utd
- Civil Service Utd1-0Blue Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blue Eagles 1543 · Civil Service Utd 1438
| Blue Eagles | Draw | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 23% | 9% |
| Market | 70% | 21% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blue Eagles (rating 1543 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Civil Service Utd: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blue Eagles | Civil Service Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blue Eagles 0–3–3 Civil Service Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Malawi Top 8 Cup | Civil Service Utd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 19/10/25 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 04/05/25 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
| 28/08/22 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 18/05/22 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Civil Service Utd |
| 26/09/21 Malawi Super League | Civil Service Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 19 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 18 |
| 9 | Ekhaya FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Civil Service Utd | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blue Eagles | Civil Service Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Mighty Wanderers | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Red Lions | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Moyale Barracks | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Karonga United | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Creck SC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Blue Eagles (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blue Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Civil Service Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Top 8 Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blue Eagles vs Civil Service Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blue Eagles win (69%). Probabilities: Blue Eagles 69%, draw 22%, Civil Service Utd 9%.
How many goals are expected in Blue Eagles vs Civil Service Utd?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Blue Eagles 1.85 · Civil Service Utd 0.51), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Blue Eagles vs Civil Service Utd?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.