Football · Colombia Primera B · 24/08, 22:30

Prediction: Real San Andres vs Independiente Yumbo

Team pages: Real San Andres · Independiente Yumbo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Real San Andres1.04
Independiente Yumbo1.26
1X2
29% 30% 41%
Real San Andres Draw Independiente Yumbo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres 0-4-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLDDD
Independiente Yumbo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDDWDW
Head-to-head
Real San Andres 0–1–0 Independiente Yumbo (1 last)
  • Independiente Yumbo1-1Real San Andres
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1374 · Independiente Yumbo 1474
Real San AndresDrawIndependiente Yumbo
Our model29%31%40%
Market30%30%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Yumbo (rating 1374 vs 1474).
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Real San AndresIndependiente Yumbo
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.20.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.90.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 5.12.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.15.7 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 010 Independiente Yumbo

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/02/26
Colombia Primera B
Independiente Yumbo1-1
HT 0-0
Real San Andres

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Itagui Leones 4220 428
2 Real Cartagena 4211 847
3 Independiente Yumbo 3210 517
4 Patriotas FC 3120 645
5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca 4121 545
6 Orsomarso 3120 215
7 Envigado FC 3111 334
8 Tigres FC 3111 224
9 Boca Juniors De Cali 3111 234
10 Bogota FC 4112 134
11 Real San Andres 4031 7113
12 Barranquilla FC 3021 452
13 Deportes Quindio 3021 232
14 Atletico Cali FC 3021 462
15 Internacional FC de Palmira 3021 242
16 Union Magdalena 2011 011

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReal San AndresIndependiente Yumbo
Barranquilla FC 2-2 D 1-0 W
Atletico Cali FC 2-2 D 2-0 W
Patriotas FC 2-2 D 2-1 W
Real Cartagena 1-5 L 2-0 W
Envigado FC 1-3 L 1-1 D
Union Magdalena 0-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Yumbo (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real San Andres

DLLLLLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-2 D
06/08 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
2-1 2-2 67 D
31/07 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 2-2 44 D
26/07 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-3 1-5 53 L
18/04 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-2 33 L
13/04 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 39 L
08/04 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-2 48 L
31/03 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-3 56 L
26/03 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 52 L
21/03 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 1110 D

Independiente Yumbo

WLLWLDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
2-0 2-0 45 W
03/08 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 125 D
28/07 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
2-0 2-0 76 W
18/04 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 99 D
07/04 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 72 D
30/03 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 59 L
27/03 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-1 17 W
21/03 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-2 44 L
17/03 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 57 L
12/03 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Independiente Yumbo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Yumbo win (41%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 29%, draw 30%, Independiente Yumbo 41%.

How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Independiente Yumbo?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Real San Andres 1.04 · Independiente Yumbo 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Independiente Yumbo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.