Football · Colombia Primera B · 25/08, 00:30
Prediction: Patriotas FC vs Atletico Cali FC
Team pages: Patriotas FC · Atletico Cali FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Patriotas FC2.3
Atletico Cali FC0.89
1X2
Patriotas FC
Draw
Atletico Cali FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Patriotas FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Cali FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patriotas FC
3–3–0
Atletico Cali FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Patriotas FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Patriotas FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-3Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC2-1Atletico Cali FC
- Patriotas FC2-1Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC0-0Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patriotas FC 1485 · Atletico Cali FC 1391
| Patriotas FC | Draw | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 20% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 21% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patriotas FC (rating 1485 vs 1391).
- H2H favours Patriotas FC: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patriotas FC | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patriotas FC 3–3–0 Atletico Cali FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Colombia Cup | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 20/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 24/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 18/05/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 11/09/23 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 04/04/23 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Patriotas FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Envigado FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Real San Andres | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patriotas FC | Atletico Cali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Orsomarso | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real San Andres | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Envigado FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Yumbo | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Union Magdalena | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Deportes Quindio | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patriotas FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/07 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 01/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 16/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 12/03 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | D |
Atletico Cali FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/03 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/03 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/03 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patriotas FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patriotas FC win (68%). Probabilities: Patriotas FC 68%, draw 21%, Atletico Cali FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Patriotas FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Patriotas FC 2.3 · Atletico Cali FC 0.89), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Patriotas FC vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.