Football · Malawi Super League · 15/08, 14:30

Prediction: Chitipa United vs Mitundu Baptist FC

Team pages: Chitipa United · Mitundu Baptist FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Chitipa United1.12
Mitundu Baptist FC1.03
1X2
36% 32% 32%
Chitipa United Draw Mitundu Baptist FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chitipa United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWDWWL
Mitundu Baptist FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWDWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chitipa United 1488 · Mitundu Baptist FC 1504
Chitipa UnitedDrawMitundu Baptist FC
Our model36%32%32%
Market37%31%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Chitipa UnitedMitundu Baptist FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.41 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.40.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.32.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.31.7 / 0.2

Standings · Malawi Super League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Silver Strikers 12741 20525
2 Big Bullets 12651 14723
3 Mighty Wanderers 12651 22823
4 Blue Eagles 11713 181222
5 Masters FC 12624 151320
6 Mitundu Baptist FC 12534 121218
7 Ekhaya FC 12453 13817
8 Moyale Barracks 12453 121317
9 Red Lions 12444 101116
10 Chitipa United 12516 91516
11 MAFCO 11335 101212
12 Dedza Dynamos 12336 81812
13 Karonga United 12336 132112
14 Kamuzu Barracks 12327 131711
15 Civil Service Utd 12327 61311
16 Creck SC 12129 7175

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentChitipa UnitedMitundu Baptist FC
Ekhaya FC 1-0 W 0-0 D
Silver Strikers 0-0 D 1-1 D
Red Lions 0-1 L 0-1 L
Mighty Wanderers 0-4 L 0-2 L
Civil Service Utd 1-0 W 3-0 W
Moyale Barracks 2-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chitipa United

LWLLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Big Bullets
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 03 L
25/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 23 W
19/07 Dedza Dynamos
Malawi Super League
1-0 2-1 53 W
05/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 56 D
27/06 Kamuzu Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-1 34 W
21/06 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-1 75 L
31/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-3 0-4 35 L
24/05 MAFCO
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-2 21 L
16/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
0-0 1-0 21 W
09/05 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-1 2-3 42 L

Mitundu Baptist FC

LLLWLWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Karonga United
Malawi Super League
0-0 2-1 82 W
26/07 Silver Strikers
Malawi Super League
1-1 1-1 72 D
18/07 Creck SC
Malawi Super League
1-0 1-0 23 W
05/07 Ekhaya FC
Malawi Super League
0-0 0-0 42 D
27/06 Blue Eagles
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-2 31 W
21/06 Moyale Barracks
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 53 L
30/05 Civil Service Utd
Malawi Super League
1-0 3-0 31 W
23/05 Red Lions
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-1 43 L
16/05 Mighty Wanderers
Malawi Super League
0-2 0-2 31 L
11/05 Masters FC
Malawi Super League
0-1 0-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chitipa United vs Mitundu Baptist FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chitipa United win (36%). Probabilities: Chitipa United 36%, draw 32%, Mitundu Baptist FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Chitipa United vs Mitundu Baptist FC?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Chitipa United 1.12 · Mitundu Baptist FC 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Chitipa United vs Mitundu Baptist FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.