Prediction: Red Lions vs Moyale Barracks
Team pages: Red Lions · Moyale Barracks
- Red Lions0-1Moyale Barracks
- Moyale Barracks1-2Red Lions
- Moyale Barracks0-0Red Lions
- Red Lions0-2Moyale Barracks
| Red Lions | Draw | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 41% | 31% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Moyale Barracks: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Red Lions | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Lions 1–1–2 Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/23 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Moyale Barracks |
| 25/06/22 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Red Lions |
| 03/07/21 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Red Lions |
| 02/05/21 Malawi Super League | Red Lions | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Moyale Barracks |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 2 | Big Bullets | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Mighty Wanderers | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | Blue Eagles | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Masters FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Ekhaya FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 17 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | Chitipa United | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 12 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Civil Service Utd | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 11 |
| 16 | Creck SC | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Red Lions | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Eagles | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Civil Service Utd | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Chitipa United | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Karonga United | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Big Bullets | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Moyale Barracks (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Red Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Moyale Barracks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Red Lions vs Moyale Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Lions win (40%). Probabilities: Red Lions 40%, draw 33%, Moyale Barracks 27%.
How many goals are expected in Red Lions vs Moyale Barracks?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Red Lions 1.06 · Moyale Barracks 0.83), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Red Lions vs Moyale Barracks?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.